Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

Partner Authors Updated: 24 Jun 25 11:33

Mamelodi Sundowns and Fluminense square off in Miami on Wednesday in a decisive 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Group F encounter.

Sundowns, winners of the South African Premiership for the last eight seasons, come into this fixture needing all three points to keep their tournament hopes alive.

They followed up a narrow 1-0 win over Ulsan HD with a thrilling display in a 4-3 defeat to Borussia Dortmund last time out.

Fluminense, meanwhile, top the group after a goalless draw with Dortmund and an impressive 4-2 comeback win over the South Korean club.

Anything less than a win will see Sundowns eliminated, while a draw is enough for Fluminense to progress, making this a virtual knockout for the African giants and a pressure test for the Brazilians.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Fluminense	17/20
Best Bet	Over 2.5 Goals	17/20
Bet Builder	Fluminense to win, Over 3 Goals & Jhon Arias to Score or Assist	11/2

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense

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Key Match Stats

Sundowns have won just one of their last four matches in all competitions
Fluminense are unbeaten in eight matches, including this Club World Cup tournament
Both teams have scored four goals in two group matches, but Sundowns have conceded four, while Fluminense have let in just two
Fluminense have scored more than once in five of their last six games
Sundowns have the second-highest goals to shots on target ratio in the tournament, having scored with four of their six
Fluminense’s last three wins have all come by two-goal margins

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense Prediction

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 17/20

Fluminense are the rightful favourites to win the match because of their greater exposure to top-level club football in the Copa Libertadores and that 2023 Club World Cup final appearance.

But they do not need to win the match to progress to the knockout stage and second place in Group F might secure them an easier round of 16 tie on paper.

Mamelodi Sundowns coach Miguel Cardoso is promising another positive performance from his side after they gave Dortmund a real scare in Cincinnati last weekend.

The South African champions dominated possession and registered 14 attempts on goal to Dortmund’s eight, with nine of their shots taken from inside their opponents’ box.

The Bundesliga outfit capitalised on two costly errors from goalkeeper Ronwen Williams, otherwise, it might have been a different story.

Six of Mamelodi Sundowns’ last 10 games have featured three or more goals and that looks a good play again in the circumstances given their need to win.

Their pacy and incisive attackers have the ability to find the net but Fluminense also have the quality to punish any more defensive lapses.

Simon Barlow explains:

Expect goals in Miami, where Fluminense’s pedigree and tactical discipline should see them through. The Brazilian outfit did concede twice against Ulsan while Sundowns hit three in defeat to Dortmund, meaning over 2.5 goals will hardly be out of the question.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense Bet Builder Tip

Fluminense to win
Over 3 Goals
Jhon Arias to Score or Assist

Pays 11/2

Fluminense’s blend of South American flair, tournament experience and tactical discipline should give them the edge in Miami.

But Sundowns’ urgency and attacking threat mean there is a good chance that both teams score.

Backing over three goals in the 90 minutes could prove profitable if the South Africans make similar mistakes to the Dortmund defeat or leave themselves without cover at the back when chasing the game.

And Jhon Arias is a worthy addition to the Bet Builder after his impressive display against Ulsan HD when he scored a sumptuous free-kick and set up Flu’s fourth with a delicious cross.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Simon Barlow adds:

Take a chance on backing Fluminense to win in a high-scoring, entertaining clash, with in-form midfielder Arias being someone who can make the difference with a goal or assist.

Tactics, Form and Team News

Mamelodi Sundowns are expected to line up in a 4-1-4-1 formation , with Ronwen Williams in goal and a midfield anchored by Teboho Mokoena.

Key men include the versatile Lucas Ribeiro Costa and captain Themba Zwane, both crucial for Sundowns’ attacking output.

Predicted Mamelodi Sundowns XI (4-1-4-1): Williams; Mudau, Cupido, Kekana, Lunga; Mokoena; Ribeira Costa, Zwane, Allende, Rayners; Matthews.

Fluminense will likely stick with their fluid 4-2-3-1, balancing attack and defence. Renato Gaucho’s side features experienced campaigners like Marcelo at left-back, midfield dynamo Andre Trindade, and the lethal German Cano up front.

Predicted Fluminense XI (4-2-3-1): Fabio; Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Freytas, Fuentes; Hercules, Nonato; Arias, Ganso, Keno; Everaldo.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.