A heavyweight casualty is assured when Liverpool take on Paris Saint-Germain in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie and Dan Childs assesses which side is more likely to move through to the final eight.
Fortune was on the Reds' side at the Parc des Princes where they clinched an improbable 1-0 first-leg victory despite losing the shot count 27 to two.
But the win puts Liverpool in a strong position given their general excellence at Anfield where they reeled off four straight victories in the League Phase.
However, PSG will have taken lots of confidence from their first leg performance and approach the game high on confidence having won 16 of 18 fixtures in 2025.
Contents |
Liverpool v Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds (%) |
Liverpool to win | 44.3% | 45.5% | |
Liverpool 3-1 Paris St-Germain | N/A | 6.7% |
Key Prediction Stats & Insights
Liverpool have won eight of their last nine UEFA Champions League home fixtures
Paris St-Germain have lost their last four UEFA Champions League away games on English soil
Liverpool have won both of the previous home matches against Paris St-Germain
Liverpool v Paris Saint-Germain Free Betting Tips
Tip | Current Odds |
Liverpool to win | |
Mohamed Salah to score any time | |
Alexis Mac Allister to be carded |
Liverpool to win - 6/5
Liverpool were dominated for large periods of last Wednesday’s 1-0 victory at the Parc des Princes, but they should play with greater authority in the second leg and look a solid wager to increase their advantage.
A goalkeeping masterclass from Alisson was needed for the Reds to defy logic and ensure a first-leg shutout against a PSG side who bossed the game from the first whistle.
But the Parisiens were also guilty of some wasteful finishing and have left themselves in a sticky spot because it is hard to imagine Liverpool playing as poorly on home soil.
The Merseysiders have won 18 of 21 home matches across all competitions, including superb UEFA Champions League successes over Bayer Leverkusen (4-0) and Real Madrid (2-0).
They are likely to be given another tough game by Luis Enrique’s slick, energetic PSG side, who have forged 16 points clear of Marseille at the top of Ligue 1.
However, PSG have tasted defeat in their last four away matches against Premier League opposition and they may fall short against Arne Slot’s side, who can show a more clinical touch in the moments that matter.
Mohamed Salah to score any time - 8/5
Liverpool talisman Mohamed Salah was forced to feed off scraps in the French capital last Wednesday, but he should be more involved on Merseyside and can help his side ease through to the next round.
The Egyptian has scored only three UEFA Champions League goals so far this season, but he may have saved his best for the knockout rounds.
Alexis Mac Allister to be carded - 3/1
Liverpool were too passive in the first leg, but they will be looking to press with greater intensity at Anfield and may run the risk of picking up a few yellow cards.
Feisty midfielder Alexis Mac Allister will be one of the players seeking to break up PSG attacks and he looks as likely as anyone to enter referee Istvan Kovacs’s notebook.
Liverpool v Paris Saint-Germain Head to Head
Previous Meetings | 5 |
Liverpool Wins | 3 |
Paris Saint-Germain Wins | 2 |
Draws | 0 |
First Game | PSG 3 Liverpool 0 (April 10th 1997) |
Last Game | PSG 0 Liverpool 1 (March 5th 2025) |
Paris St-Germain and Liverpool first crossed swords in the semi-finals of the 1996-97 European Cup Winners Cup, with the French side emerging 3-2 aggregate winners after winning the home leg 3-0 before sustaining a 2-0 reverse on Merseyside.
They also faced each other in the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League group stage, with Liverpool winning 3-2 at Anfield and PSG securing a 2-1 success in the return match.
Supercomputer Prediction
Liverpool | 44.3% |
Draw | 25.5% |
Paris Saint-Germain | 30.2% |
The odds suggest Liverpool are favourites to beat Paris Saint-Germain with a 45.5% chance of winning in 90 minutes on Tuesday night, with the BetSie Supercomputer largely agreeing and giving the hosts a 44.3% chance of success.
The BetSie Supercomputer believes the French champions have a 30.2% chance of securing a victory at Anfield.
According to the betting odds, a 3-1 victory for Arne Slot's side has a 6.7% chance of happening.
Predicted Starting Line-ups
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz; Jota.
Paris Saint-Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; Joao Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Kvaratskhelia, Dembele, Barcola.
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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