A 2-0 defeat to Portugal's Sporting CP in the opening round of league phase games suggested Lille might struggle in Europe's top competition, but they are unbeaten in UEFA Champions League since that loss.
Les Dogues have claimed famous wins over the two giants from Madrid and have managed a point against Juventus, so a victory at home to Sturm Graz would potentially be enough to lock in a knockout place with two games to spare.
Contents |
Lille v Sturm Graz Prediction
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds% |
Lille | 70.5% | 67.6% | |
Lille to win 3-1 | N/A | 8.3% |
Key Prediction Stats & Insights
Lille are on a 14-game unbeaten run and have won three of their last four.
Both teams have scored in six of Lille’s last seven games.
Sturm Graz have never won a European trip to France in any competition (D1, L4).
Supercomputer Prediction
Lille | 70.5% |
Draw | 18.6% |
Sturm Graz | 10.9% |
Lille v Sturm Graz Betting Tips
Tip | Current Odds |
Lille to win and both teams to score | |
Jonathan David to score anytime | |
Tochi Chukwuani to be booked |
Lille to win and both teams to score - 9/4
Lille are one of Europe’s form teams as they are unbeaten since losing their UEFA Champions League opener to Sporting, a run stretching 14 games (W8, D6).
The Ligue 1 outfit are deserved favourites against a Sturm Graz side who have four defeats in five games in this competition and have never won a competitive game in France, and that is reflected in the odds with Lille 12/25 to win.
The value option here could well be backing Lille to win and concede as clean sheets have been tough to come by for the hosts.
LOSC have conceded in six of their last seven games and in six of their last eight at their Stade Pierre-Mauroy home across all competitions.
Sturm Graz know they have to get a result to realistically keep their play-off hopes alive after taking just three points from their first five matches.
The Austrian side have to take a few risks here and should be able to get on the scoresheet, as they have only failed to score in one of their last nine games and they managed a consolation strike when they visited Lille’s domestic rivals Brest earlier on in the competition.
Jonathan David to score anytime - 1/1
Jonathan David is having another fantastic season for Lille and he looks the most likely scorer ahead of Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League fixture.
The Canada international has scored six of Lille’s seven goals in this competition so far and he’s been in scintillating form domestically as well, netting 11 times in just 14 Ligue 1 appearances.
David has scored four goals in total across his last two appearances for Bruno Genesio’s side and also has an assist, meaning he’s been directly involved in each of Lille’s last five goals, so he looks a strong contender to get on the scoresheet when Sturm Graz visit.
Tochi Chukwuani to be booked - 7/4
Desperation could well kick in for Sturm Graz at some stage if this game isn’t going their way and that may lead to a few cards being dished out.
Danish midfielder Tochi Chukwuani is one candidate among the visiting squad for a booking after collecting five yellow cards, and one red, in just 13 games in the Austrian Bundesliga.
Chukwuani, who averages 1.3 fouls per-game in the UEFA Champions League, operates in the holding midfield role and could come under intense pressure from Lille’s mobile attackers and that could well lead to a card.
Predicted Starting Line-ups
Lille
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Chevalier; Meunier, Alexsandro, Diakite, Gudmundsson; Mukau, Andre, Bouaddi; Sahraoui, Zhegrova, David.
Sturm Graz
Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Khudyakov: Gazibegovic, Aiwu, Geyrhofer, Lavalee; Chukwuani, Yalcouye, Boving, Kiteishvili; Jatta, Biereth.
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