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Leeds United v Hull City: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Leeds United lost the lead in the Championship on Good Friday but can beat Hull on Easter Monday to ensure they maintain an automatic promotion place.

The Whites were held to a 2-2 draw at Watford, with youngster Mateo Joseph emerging off the bench to score a late equaliser. 

Although they slipped to second in the standings due to Ipswich's 1-0 win at Blackburn, the stalemate at Vicarage Road extended their unbeaten league run to 14 games.

They next take on a Hull side whose play-off hopes were hit hard by a 2-0 defeat to Stoke, leaving them six points adrift of the top six.

The Tigers were expected to struggle this season but have proved awkward customers. However, they have failed to consistently turn draws into wins, recording four stalemates in a row before that defeat to the Potters, and they could fall short here.

Leeds sit a point behind Ipswich, who host fourth-placed Southampton in the 17:30 fixture, but a point ahead of Leicester, who take on Norwich in the early match and also have a game in hand.

The Saints are also in the mix, with two games in hand of their own, but Leeds will feel that their priority has to be to focus on themselves as they aim to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking, and can hold up their end of the bargain by beating Hull on Monday.

Leeds v Hull

Leeds v Hull betting tips and predictions

Leeds to win and under 2.5 goals @ 11/4

Leeds have a well-earned reputation as an entertaining side, but Daniel Farke has brought more structure to their play. They now look more comfortable controlling games, as demonstrated by their average possession of 58.4%, the third-best in the Championship.

That mark moves up to 60.7% at Elland Road and they are likely to see plenty of the ball against a Hull team who have hit on a decent formula on their travels, defending deep and striking on the break.

The Tigers are unbeaten in five away, winning four of those, and their nine wins on the road is two more than at home where they have arguably been too passive.

Leeds' 15 wins from 19 home fixtures is a Championship best but their games have become increasingly cagey in recent weeks.

Their four outings prior to Friday's 2-2 draw at Watford all featured under 2.5 goals. That run included three wins to nil, available at 11/8. However, there feels more value in pushing for precision, and a home victory featuring no more than two goals appears a sensible prediction.

The reverse fixture finished 0-0 and the likelihood of Farke dropping captain Liam Cooper to renew the Joe Rodon-Ethan Ampadu defensive partnership that has worked so well in recent months could contribute to keeping the scoreline down.

Daniel James anytime goalscorer @ 9/4

Winger Daniel James was the villain as Wales missed out on a place at Euro 2024 in midweek. His penalty was saved by Wojciech Szczesny, resulting in Poland winning the decisive shootout in Cardiff.

The 26-year-old is made of stern stuff and is sure to bounce back, especially with a heavy Welsh contingent around him at Elland Road.

James' tally of 12 goals and seven assists equates to his best season to date and he may have extra motivation after spending time in Hull's academy.

After scoring in Leeds' last two games, he appears a threat either as a starter or if called upon from the bench.

Ryan Giles to be booked @ 9/2

Whether it is James on the right from the start or Jadon Anthony, Hull left-back Ryan Giles could be in for a busy evening.

The 24-year-old has enjoyed a regular role after being in and out of the side at Luton and on current form, his loan move could be made permanent.

Giles has made 10 appearances for the Tigers since signing in January and has nailed down the left-back role after Liam Rosenior was forced to rotate and experiment in the first half of the campaign.

However, his sole yellow card came in his team's last away game and the pace running throughout Leeds' side could cause him problems.

A second caution of the campaign could prove to be an occupational hazard, with evasive action likely to be required stop the Whites' rampant attack.

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Leeds v Hull odds

Leeds - 2/5
Draw -
4/1
Hull -
13/2

View the full market and more odds for Leeds v Hull on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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