Italy v France: Prediction, Tips and Odds

The top two in Group A2 of the UEFA Nations League clash at the San Siro on Sunday evening, when first-placed Italy take on France.

These two nations are already guaranteed places in the quarter-finals and all that is left to confirm is which team ends up going through as group winners, a position currently held by the Azzurri.

Italy have a three-point advantage over Les Bleus, who lost September's reverse fixture in Paris 3-1, so Sunday's hosts hold the strongest hand heading into this clash.

Italy v France betting tips and predictions

Italy to win - 7/4

After an underwhelming European Championship that ended with a quarter-final defeat to Switzerland, Italy have impressed during the 2024/25 Nations League and find themselves unbeaten after five matches.

The Azzurri recorded away victories over France (3-1) and Israel (2-1) in the September international break, before then picking up a 2-2 draw against Belgium and a 4-1 success over Israel.

A narrow 1-0 triumph over the Red Devils on Thursday, coupled with France's 0-0 draw with Israel, has Luciano Spalletti's team three points clear at the top of Group A2 and on course to go through as pool winners.

Italy will finish first if they avoid defeat to France by two goals or more, but the hosts are full of confidence and they will be eager to land another statement victory over Didier Deschamps' side.

Spalletti's troops are unbeaten in seven matches at home, last tasting defeat in a European Championship qualifier against England in March 2023, and that solid form looks enough to overcome a French outfit that are not firing on all cylinders and who are without talisman Kylian Mbappe.

Although Les Bleus have picked up three wins in the group, they haven't been convincing and two of those wins came against a Belgium side that have been abject during this competition.

France's attacking failings were on full show against Israel last time out, as they failed to score despite having 20-plus shots, and that spells bad news given they need to win by two goals or more to finish first.

Moise Kean to score at any time - 13/5

With qualification assured and top spot nearly secured, Spalletti could be tempted to make changes to his starting XI and one player pushing for an opportunity is Moise Kean.

The 24-year-old has found starting chances limited for his country, largely down to the form of Mateo Retegui, but the Fiorentina ace could be brought into the fold on Sunday.

Kean has been in stunning form for his club, hitting a hat-trick before the international break to take his tally to six goals from his last three appearances.

The former Everton forward's sole start in the 2024/25 Nations League came in the 2-1 victory against Israel in September, a match he scored in, and it would be no surprise to see him find the back of the net at the San Siro.

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Italy v France odds

Italy - 7/4
Draw - 11/5
France - 13/8

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.