Inter Milan v Bayern Munich: Prediction and Tips

Inter Milan hold a narrow 2-1 advantage heading into the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final tie with Bayern Munich, which is set for the Stadio San Siro on Wednesday.

Goals from Lautaro Martinez and Davide Frattesi at Fußball Arena München last midweek have put Inter in the ascendancy, but Bayern, who made it to the semi-finals last season, will believe they can still turn things around and set up a semi-final showdown with either Barcelona or Borussia Dortmund.

Contents

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Betting Tips

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Head to Head

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds (%)
Inter Milan to win	45.5%	13/8	38.1%
Inter Milan 2-1 Bayern Munich	N/A	9/1	10%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• Inter Milan boast the best defence in this season's UEFA Champions League, conceding just three goals in 11 games
• Bayern Munich have only won three of their last seven matches across all competitions
• The Bavarians have won their three previous UEFA Champions League away games against Inter Milan

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Inter Milan to win	13/8
Lautaro Martinez to score at any time	7/4
Kristjan Asllani to be booked	11/4

Inter Milan to win - 13/8

Inter have put themselves in a strong position to make it through to the UEFA Champions League semi-finals for the second time in three seasons after last week's first-leg win, and they will be confident of getting the job done on home soil where they hold an impressive record.

Simone Inzaghi's side have won nine matches on the spin at Stadio San Siro across all competitions and are unbeaten in 20 at the venue since losing to rivals AC Milan, who play their home games at the same ground, in Serie A in September.

The Nerazzurri have also been faultless on home soil in this season's UEFA Champions League, winning all five of their matches, which includes a 1-0 league-phase success over Arsenal.

Bayern will provide a stern test to that formidable home record, with the Bavarians unbeaten in their last seven away games, while they are bidding to make it through to the UEFA Champions League semi-finals for the second season in a row.

However, Vincent Kompany will be concerned by his side's recent form, as they have won just three of their last seven games, losing to Bochum and drawing with Union Berlin - two sides struggling at the wrong end of the Bundesliga - during that time.

This is a match that Bayern have to win if they are to stand any chance of reaching the semi-finals, but Inter, who boast the best defensive record in this season's competition - conceding just three times in 11 games - will be happy to sit back and soak up pressure.

And if Bayern do have to throw further caution to the wind as the match develops, then Inter can pick them off on the counter attack and potentially seal their place in the semi-finals in style by winning on the night.

Lautaro Martinez to score at any time - 7/4

Inter captain Martinez opened the scoring during the first leg and he followed that up with a strike in his side's 3-1 victory over Cagliari on Saturday, a result that keeps them on course to successfully defend the Scudetto in Italy.

Martinez has now scored three goals in his last four appearances, taking his tally in all competitions to 20 and leaving him on course to be Inter's leading scorer for the fourth season in a row.

Seven of the Argentina international's goals have been in the UEFA Champions League, with six of those coming across his last four appearances in the competition, including a hat-trick in the 3-0 league-phase win over Monaco at the Stadio San Siro.

The 27-year-old may not replicate those heroics on Wednesday, but he is capable of getting on the scoresheet and perhaps setting Inter on their way to the semi-finals.

Kristjan Asllani to be booked  - 11/4

Inter midfielder Kristjan Asllani missed last week's first leg through suspension after picking up his third yellow card of the competition in the previous round, but with his slate now wiped clean, he may be a candidate to be booked on Wednesday.

Asllani does not give away a great volume of fouls - he has committed just five in this season's UEFA Champions League - but he has still felt the wrath of referees, and the same is true in Serie A where he has given away just eight fouls but has been booked four times.

While he is by no means a guaranteed starter, Asllani does tend to feature at least from the bench and, if Inter have a narrow lead to defend late on, the Albania international could be thrown on to disrupt the flow of the game and make life difficult for Bayern's attacking players.

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Head to Head

Previous Meetings	10
Inter Milan Wins	4
Bayern Munich Wins	5
Draws	1
First Game	Inter Milan 0-2 Bayern Munich (UEFA Champions League, September 2006)
Last Game	Bayern Munich 1-2 Inter Milan (UEFA Champions League, April 2025)

Inter Milan and Bayern Munich have met on eight previous occasions in the UEFA Champions League, the most famous of those coming in the 2010 final when two Diego Milito goals helped Jose Mourinho's Inter to a 2-0 success.

Bayern have won on their four previous away trips to Inter, most recently claiming a 2-0 victory during the 2022/23 group phase when a Leroy Sane strike and an own goal from Danilo D'Ambrosio helped them take the spoils.

Supercomputer Prediction

Inter Milan	45.5%
Draw	24%
Bayern Munich	30.5%

The odds suggest Inter Milan are favourites to beat Bayern Munich in this UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg and have a 38.1% chance of winning in 90 minutes, while the BetSie Supercomputer gives the hosts a 45.5% chance of winning the match.

The BetSie Supercomputer believes the Bundesliga leaders have a 30.5% chance of coming out on top in 90 minutes.

According to the betting odds, a 2-1 win for the Italian outfit has a 10% chance of happening.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Inter Milan

Formation: 3-5-2
Team: Sommer; Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni; Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Martinez, Thuram.

Bayern Munich

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Urbig; Laimer, Dier, Kim, Stanisic; Kimmich, Goretzka; Olise, Guerreiro, Sane; Kane.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.