Girona v Liverpool: Prediction and Tips

Partner Authors Published: 10 Dec 24 07:24

Liverpool have enjoyed a weekend off after their trip to Everton was postponed so will be well rested for a UEFA Champions League tussle with Girona, whose European debut has proved to be a brutal challenge.

Contents

Girona v Liverpool Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Supercomputer Prediction

Girona v Liverpool Betting Tips

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Girona v Liverpool Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds%
Liverpool	62.7%	21/50	70.4%
Liverpool to win 1-0	N/A	8/1	11.1%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Girona are without a win in their last four matches
Liverpool are the only team in the UEFA Champions League with five wins out of five
Liverpool are unbeaten in 17 matches, winning 15

Supercomputer Prediction

Girona	17%
Draw	20.3%
Liverpool	62.7%

The odds of 21/50 suggest Liverpool have a 70.4% chance of beating Girona on Tuesday evening, higher than the 62.7% suggested by the BetSie Supercomputer.

Girona's price of 6/1 suggests they have a 14.3% chance of victory - slightly lower than the Supercomputer.

Girona v Liverpool Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Liverpool & Under 3.5 Goals	6/4
Oriol Romeu Over 1.5 Fouls Committed	4/5
Over 3.5 Girona Corners	Evens

Liverpool & Under 3.5 Goals - 6/4

Liverpool head to Spain on the back of a rare weekend off, meaning the Premier League leaders should have enough zip about them to be able to see off struggling Girona in a low-scoring affair.

A few of the Reds looked leggy in last Wednesday's pulsating 3-3 draw at Newcastle United, so Arne Slot was doubtless pleased to see Saturday's Merseyside derby at Everton fall victim to the weather, though of course it will still need to be shoehorned into their schedule at some point.

And it's a schedule which will involve UEFA Champions League football well into the New Year, Liverpool having guaranteed a place in the next phase after their sparkling, flawless start.

They are the only team with five wins out of five and, having nailed down a guaranteed play-off spot, Slot would doubtless love the chance to claim a sixth win in Girona, a result that would almost certainly see them bookmark a place directly into the last 16.

That would not only avoid a pair of unwanted play-off ties, but also mean the Dutchman could make sweeping team changes for their final two league phase assignments against Lille and PSV Eindhoven.

Slot will make tweaks in Girona, with Alexis Mac Allister suspended and he may well draft in the likes of Wataru Endo and Harvey Elliott.

And with 15 wins and two draws in their last 17 and a UEFA Champions League campaign which has already featured a 4-0 drubbing of Bayer Leverkusen and 2-0 win over holders Real Madrid, they ought to be too good for Girona.

But, with a Premier League showdown with Fulham on the horizon on Saturday, one or two personnel changes and no real need to take too many risks when avoiding defeat would represent a success, expect the Reds to come through this with a low-scoring win.

This is Girona's first-ever taste of European football and juggling domestic and midweek commitments is proving hard for Michel's men.

They have just three points to their name courtesy of a 2-0 win over Slovan Bratislava. That win followed losses against Paris Saint-Germain and Feyenoord and preceded defeats at PSV and Sturm Graz. One more loss could well be curtains.

They are ninth in La Liga, without a win in four in all competitions, without a goal in their last two, but gave Real a decent game at the weekend, matching Carlo Ancelotti's men shot for shot in a 3-0 loss.

Oriol Romeu is at the heart of a hard-working unit who need to stay in this tie to keep alive their slim qualification hopes.

Liverpool's class in the attacking third should eventually tell though the English side to win in a game featuring under 3.5 goals at 6/4 looks the play.

Oriol Romeu Over 1.5 Fouls Committed - 4/5

No matter how strong the Liverpool side Slot sends out at the Estadi Montilivi, home midfield anchorman Oriol Romeu knows he is in for a busy night.

The Girona midfielder, whose sale from Southampton in August 2022 is still mourned in disbelief at St Mary's, is the beating heart of the hosts' midfield.

He would love to orchestrate the Catalan side's attacking tempo, but knows full well that it will be his duties defensively which will prove more significant.

Romeu, as both Chelsea and Saints recall, is a blue-collar grafter who will put in his tackles and, it follows, tot up the fouls.

The 33-year-old Spaniard is averaging 4.3 tackles and two fouls per game in the UEFA Champions League this term.

At the weekend he produced three fouls against Real Madrid and it would be a surprise if he didn't at least match that tally against Liverpool.

Girona Over 3.5 Corners - Evens

Girona cannot afford not to give this game a go with their UEFA Champions League ambitions in disarray with just three points on the board.

And they proved at the weekend, with 10 shots and six corners in their 3-0 loss to Real, that they can still compete with the big boys.

They are averaging 6.4 corners per game in this competition and look a stand-out play to manage four or more on Tuesday night.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Girona

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Gazzaniga; Frances, Juanpe, Krejci, Blind; Martin, Romeu, Gutierrez; Asprilla, Miovski, Gil.

Liverpool

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Kelleher; Quansah, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Endo, Szoboszlai; Salah, Nunez, Diaz.

Girona v Liverpool

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