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Fiorentina vs Napoli: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Fiorentina will look to snap their four-match winless streak when they host high-flying Napoli in Serie A on Saturday evening.

Napoli have won each of their last three Serie A games to stay hot on the heels of Atalanta at the top of the standings. Antonio Conte’s side enter the weekend level on points with la Dea, but their struggles in big games have held them back this term.

Saturday brings another key test for the Partenopei, as they head to surprise UEFA Champions League contenders Fiorentina. La Viola sit fifth after a strong start to the season, only three points shy of the top four.

However, Fiorentina have failed to win each of their last four, making this weekend’s clash a vital one for them too. Can la Viola return to form, or will Napoli claim their biggest result under Conte so far?

Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli betting tips and predictions

Both teams to score - 4/5

Fiorentina’s recent struggles have come during a tough run, which included visits to Bologna and Portuguese side Vitoria Guimaraes. La Viola finished 2024 with a 2-2 draw at old rivals Juventus, putting them in a good position to make strides forward in 2025.

As for Napoli, their singular focus on the league campaign is paying off. Last year ended with them reeling off victories against Venezia, Genoa and Udinese. While Conte isn’t known for free-flowing football, he has talented players at his disposal and freshness is helping them make a real impact.

The Partenopei have scored in six successive away trips, so they’ll pose a threat to Fiorentina. The hosts have conceded in six of their eight games at the Artemio Franchi so far, shutting out 18th-placed Cagliari and second-bottom Venezia. However, they make up for that going forward, netting 16 goals across those eight games.

For all of Conte’s early success at Napoli, his side have failed to win all four clashes with top seven opponents so far. They’ve been exposed defensively against Atalanta, Inter Milan and Lazio, so Fiorentina are backed to cause them problems. However, la Viola have issues of their own as they look to shake a poor run, so both teams to score holds a lot of appeal here. 

Moise Kean to score - 5/2

While Fiorentina’s form has dipped, Moise Kean’s recent performances have been a bright spot. The forward scored against former club Juventus last weekend, following up a strike in a defeat to Udinese. 

The Italian international has scored seven goals in eight home league appearances this season, while he’s tended to score in batches. After a run of seven strikes in four league games, he went two matches without scoring. Having found his form again, the striker is good value to trouble Napoli and boost his scoring tally at home. 

Dodo and Scott McTominay to be booked - 12/1

Napoli have a good disciplinary record this season, but summer signing Scott McTominay is racking up fouls. The Scot has 23 to his name in Serie A this term, more than all but one of his Partenopei teammates.

The former Manchester United midfielder racked up cards at Old Trafford and he has made at least two fouls in four of his previous six starts. He was booked in a recent league loss to Lazio, and he’s made multiple fouls against Milan, Inter, and Roma this term. 

Only two sides in the league have drawn more bookings than Fiorentina this season, so McTominay could be in line for a second caution of the campaign. 

Pair him with Fiorentina right-back Dodo, who has five bookings this term, including two in his last three appearances. He’s up against Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who has drawn 33 fouls so far this season. That should trouble the Brazilian defender, so a booking for both him and McTominay is a tempting 12/1. 

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Fiorentina vs Napoli odds

Fiorentina - 2/1
Draw - 9/4
Napoli - 7/5

View the full market and more odds for Fiorentina vs Napoli on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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