Finland v Greece: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Greece will be bruised by their 3-0 defeat to England but they can bounce back with victory over Finland on Sunday, even if it proves to not be enough to secure an automatic promotion spot in the UEFA Nations League.

The Greeks can still qualify as Group B2 winners and they are already assured of a promotion play-off place, but to finish top they must realistically win in Helsinki and hope England fail to record a victory against Republic of Ireland at Wembley on Sunday.

Finland v Greece betting tips and predictions

Greece to win - 21/20

England’s 3-0 win on Thursday slightly flattered the Three Lions as the hosts created several good opportunities and were on top for spells in the game in Athens.

Now, up against a much inferior Finnish outfit, who are destined for relegation to the third tier and will finish bottom of the section regardless of how Sunday's game plays out, they should post a convincing away win.

Thursday's clash was their first game in the group in which Greece have failed to score in and ended a run of four straight victories, which included their memorable 2-1 away win over England.

Greece have already outclassed the Finns at home, winning 3-0 in September, and they are taking on opponents who are bound to be low on confidence after a run of five defeats from five in this competition.

Finland have been poor throughout this Nations League campaign and their 1-0 defeat against Ireland on Thursday, when they missed a penalty, left them rooted to the bottom of the section.

Furthermore, the hosts have scored just two goals in the group and they have conceded 11 so anything other than an away win looks unlikely.

Draw/Greece - Half time/Full Time - 15/4

Greece should win this clash but they may have to rely on a strong second-half showing to do so.

Despite their awful showing in the group so far, the Finns should have at least some determination to try and impress their own fans in their final game at this level and even though going out on a high with a victory looks remote, they may be able to dig in and stay level until the break.

Greece's motivation for victory is much higher, even though they know the chances of England losing or drawing at home to Ireland are unlikely, but if they play like they did in both games against the Three Lions they should have far too much for Sunday's opponents eventually.

Greece have often relied on strong performances after the break in this competition and it could be a similar story here.

In their three straight wins prior to Thursday's loss, the Greeks came good in the second half, with all four goals in their pair of 2-0 wins over Ireland coming after the break, while their goals at Wembley were timed at 49 minutes and 90 minutes.

Vangelis Pavlidis to score first - 5/1

Vangelis Pavlidis is the obvious pick to open the scoring as the Greeks look to come away from the Finnish capital with a win.

The Benfica frontman has had a solid club season so far, scoring five goals in all competitions for the Portuguese giants, and he was the hero for his country at Wembley with his brace that evening.

Pavlidis endured a frustrating night against England at home last time out, but he has been very lively in the Nations League this season, attempting seven shots in his previous two international appearances, of which three were on target.

He will be looking to inspire his side on Sunday and can open the scoring to add to his tally of eight goals for his country.

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Finland v Greece odds

Finland - 29/10
Draw - 11/5
Greece - 21/20

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.