FC Salzburg's hopes of reaching the UEFA Champions League knockout stages are already over ahead of the visit of Atletico Madrid in the final round of league phase fixtures.
A win would guarantee a last-16 spot for Atleti and a point would probably also be enough to avoid a play-off tie.
Contents |
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds % |
Atletico Madrid to win | 56% | 73.3% | |
Atletico Madrid to win 2-0 | N/A | 14.3% |
Atletico Madrid aim to record a third consecutive away win in the UEFA Champions League for the first time in their history.
FC Salzburg have lost both of the previous meetings between these two sides.
Atletico Madrid have won nine of their last 10 away games across all competitions.
Tip | Current Odds |
Atletico Madrid to win and BTTS No | |
Julian Alvarez to score anytime | |
Adam Daghim over 0.5 shots on target |
Atletico Madrid to win and BTTS No - 5/4
FC Salzburg have little to play for other than pride going into Wednesday’s final round of league fixtures, aside from the fact a point would ensure they won’t finish bottom of the standings.
In contrast, Atleti have the chance to book a spot in the last-16 without needing a play-off.
As such, the visitors should be expected to field their best starting side here despite their involvement in the La Liga title fight, as they won’t want to leave anything to chance - even if a draw would almost certainly be enough for a top eight finish.
Los Colchoneros go into the game as deserved 4/11 favourites against a Salzburg side who have struggled in this competition and an away win should be expected.
The standard price on an Atleti win is enough for multiple backers, but anyone looking for an odds-against way to back the visitors should consider an away win and a clean sheet at 5/4.
FC Salzburg have scored just four goals in total in their seven UEFA Champions League games in the league phase and three of those came in one game - a 3-1 win at Feyenoord.
The Austrian side have suffered six defeats and have failed to score in five of those losses, with their other strike coming as a late consolation in a 5-1 mauling at the hands of Real Madrid.
Admittedly, Atletico’s defence hasn’t necessarily been watertight in recent weeks, but they do have three clean sheets in their last six games and they claimed a 6-0 win at Sparta Prague in their last UEFA Champions League trip.
Meanwhile, Salzburg have failed to score in seven of their last eight losses across all competitions and they may struggle to find a way to hurt a team of greater quality.
Julian Alvarez to score anytime - 11/10
Julian Alvarez has perhaps underwhelmed in La Liga since his big-money summer switch from Manchester City, with a modest six goals in 21 games, but the Argentinian has been his side’s key threat in cup competitions.
Atleti have scored 16 goals in the UEFA Champions League and Alvarez has six of those, while he has also delivered in the Copa del Rey with four goals in as many appearances.
The 21-year-old has scored in three consecutive games in this competition, including a double in the win over Bayer Leverkusen last time out, and has four goals in his last five games overall, so he looks the standout candidate for an anytime effort on Wednesday.
Adam Daghim over 0.5 shots on target - 6/4
A goal may be beyond the hosts, but they will still be able to carve out a few chances and a shot on target at 6/4 for teenage striker Adam Daghim looks like good value.
Daghim should start in the absence of injury victim Karim Konate and will be the focal point of the hosts’ attack.
The Denmark Under-21 international scored against Dynamo Kyiv in qualifying and had two attempts against Real in the last round of games, so he looks backable to at least test the keeper over the course of 90 minutes.
FC Salzburg | 22% |
Draw | 22% |
Atletico Madrid | 56% |
The odds suggest Atletico Madrid have a 73.3% chance of beating FC Salzburg on Wednesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 56% chance of that happening.
The BetSie Supercomputer believes FC Salzburg have a 22% chance of winning their upcoming game against Atletico Madrid.
A 2-0 victory for Atletico Madrid has a 14.3% chance of happening according to the betting odds.
Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Blaswich; Dedic, Baidoo, Terzic, Blank; Yeo, Bidstrup, Capaldo, Gloukh; Nene, Daghim.
Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Oblak; Gimenez, Molina, Le Normand, Azpilicueta; Simeone, Koke, De Paul, Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann.
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