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Germany Euros Odds: Hosts 11/2 to win on home soil

Germany have struggled by their high standards at recent major tournaments but could be set for a big summer as they host the Euros.

Germany Euros odds

To Win Outright - 11/2
To Reach Final -
11/4
To Reach Semi-Final -
11/10
To Reach Quarter-Final -
1/3
Group Betting -
2/5
Group Qualification Yes -
1/20
Group Qualification No -
10/1

Germany hoping for fresh start under youthful Nagelsmann 

Germany are one of the undisputed powerhouses of international football but the Euro 2024 hosts have endured a tough decade since winning the World Cup in 2014.

Die Mannschaft suffered shock group-stage exits at the 2018 and 2022 World Cups either side of an underwhelming Euro 2020 campaign which ended with a 2-0 defeat to England in the round of 16.

That loss marked the end of Joachim Low's time in charge and his successor Hansi Flick lasted just two years in the job before being sacked following a 4-1 friendly defeat to Japan in September 2023.

The 36-year-old Julian Nagelsmann, a managerial prodigy who has already coached Hoffenheim, RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, was appointed to lead Germany into their home European Championship finals.

They are 1/4 to beat Scotland in the opening game of the tournament on 14th June and 11/2 to lift the trophy in the final in Berlin on 14th July.

Only England and France are shorter in the betting than Germany and there are plenty of reasons for the hosts to be optimistic despite their poor recent record in major tournaments.

Friendly triumph against France provides boost to morale

Nagelsmann was the hottest managerial property in Europe when he was appointed Bayern boss at the age of just 33, having led Leipzig to the Champions League semi-finals in 2019/20.

He won the Bundesliga in his first season in Munich but was surprisingly sacked in March 2023 before taking the national-team job later that year.

Nagelsmann has had limited opportunities to mould Die Mannschaft, taking charge of only six friendly fixtures since October 2023.

Goals from captain Ilkay Gundogan, Niclas Fullkrug and Jamal Musiala gave Germany a 3-1 victory over the USA in his first game but after that they drew 2-2 with Mexico before losing 3-2 to Turkey and 2-0 to Austria in November 2023.

March's fixtures against France and the Netherlands provided a much-needed morale boost before the Euros.

A Florian Wirtz strike after just seven seconds set Germany on their way to a 2-0 win over Qatar World Cup runners-up France in Lyon, where Real Madrid midfielder Toni Kroos made his return to action after coming out of international retirement.

And Fullkrug's late goal against the Dutch sealed a 2-1 victory for Nagelsmann's men, who face Ukraine and Greece in June friendlies before starting their Euro 2024 campaign. 

Leverkusen and Dortmund stars buzzing after club success

Nagelsmann should have plenty of confident and in-form players at his disposal at the end of a memorable domestic season for German clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen romped to their first Bundesliga title and have also reached the Europa League and DFB-Pokal finals, with Germany internationals Wirtz, Jonathan Tah and Robert Andrich playing important roles.

And Borussia Dortmund striker Fullkrug and centre-back Nico Schlotterbeck will face compatriots Kroos and Antonio Rudiger when BVB take on Real Madrid in the Champions League final.

Real edged past Bayern in the semi-finals and the Munich giants are likely to be represented by goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, midfielders Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlovic and veteran forward Thomas Muller at the Euros.

Bayern youngster Musiala is 25/1 to be the tournament's top goalscorer while Kai Havertz, who has starred in Arsenal's Premier League title challenge, is 33/1.

Stuttgart, who have qualified for the Champions League, provided four players for the March friendlies against France and the Netherlands with defenders Waldemar Anton and Maximilian Mittelstadt called up along with winger Chris Fuhrich and on-loan Brighton striker Denis Undav.

With the talent of Musiala and Wirtz, as well as the vast experience of Kroos, Kimmich and Gundogan, Germany's midfield unit looks powerful and they are hot favourites to finish above Group A rivals Switzerland, Hungary and Scotland.

They are less convincing in defence, however, as the only clean sheets they have recorded in their last 24 international fixtures were against Oman, Peru and France, in March's 2-0 friendly win.

Kroos return could unlock youngsters' potential

Home advantage and a decent group-stage draw mean Germany will be expected to make a strong start to the campaign.

A lack of prep time under their new manager is a concern – France boss Didier Deschamps, in contrast, has been in the job since 2012, when Nagelsmann was just 24 years old.

Nagelsmann tried out a back three in the 2-0 defeat to Austria in November, when his experiment was hampered by a 49th-minute red card for Leroy Sane.

Kroos's decision to reverse his international retirement means a 4-2-3-1 formation looks the most natural set-up for Germany at the Euros and that should get the best out of attacking midfielders Musiala and Wirtz.

The competition for places in midfield is fierce so Bayern stalwart Kimmich may be employed as a full-back while his club teammate Sane, who has had a fine season in the Bundesliga and Champions League, is likely to be among the substitutes for the national team.

Fullkrug, despite scoring 11 times in just 15 appearances for Germany, could be behind the rejuvenated Havertz in the pecking order up front.

Veteran World Cup-winning goalkeeper Neuer should get the nod over Barcelona's Marc-Andre ter Stegen and the quality and depth of the Germany squad suggests they could be serious trophy contenders on home turf.

You can see the latest Euros winner odds on our Euros betting hubs.

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