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Chelsea v Burnley: Prediction, Tips and Odds

The Premier League action heads to Stamford Bridge on Saturday when Chelsea host relegation-threatened Burnley.

The Blues head into the contest off a string of high-scoring games and they now host a Burnley side who have one of the worst defensive records in the Premier League this term. 

The Clarets were thumped 4-1 when these two met at Turf Moor earlier in the campaign and they’ve continued to struggle at the back.

However, the visitors have picked up four points from their last two games. That has boosted their hopes of survival, but can they build on that with a surprise result in West London? 

Chelsea v Burnley

Chelsea v Burnley betting tips and predictions

Over 3.5 goals - 6/5

Chelsea have spent much of the season looking like a side that desperately needs a striker, but their games have opened up over the last couple of months. The Blues are doing better going forward, but they’re also looking very shaky defensively.

Mauricio Pochettino is getting something from their attacking players, but his hands are tied at the back with a raft of injuries. The Blues are down three centre-halves heading into the weekend, with Benoit Badiashile, Levi Colwill and Wesley Fofana all set to miss this clash.

The Blues have seen over 3.5 goals land in eight of their last 10 matches. The two that went under - a 1-1 draw at Man City and the Carabao Cup loss to Liverpool - were also entertaining in their own right.

Chelsea have seen at least four goals scored in each of their last four at home, although they’ve conceded at least twice in each of those. Both Leeds and Leicester found plenty of joy in cup visits to the Bridge, but Pochettino’s side have scored 18 times across their last seven at home.

Burnley should carry some confidence into this one, having drawn 2-2 at West Ham before beating Brentford 2-1. They return from the break hoping to continue their upswing, which could see them engage the Blues and play out another thrilling clash at this ground.

Chelsea to win and both teams to score - 13/8

For all of the negativity around Chelsea this term, they have also started to turn their home form around. The Blues have won nine of 13 home games since the start of December, while they’ve won five of their last six home games in the Premier League. 

Burnley have the second-worst away record across the Premier League, losing nine of their 14 trips this term. They’ve tasted defeat in five of their last six matches on the road, so this should be a straightforward win for Pochettino’s men.

The concern with Chelsea remains their makeshift backline, with the club seeing both teams score in nine of their last 10 matches. They’ve shipped 20 goals across 13 home games this term and this is a Burnley side who average a goal per game on their travels. While the Clarets should be outgunned, back them to score in a defeat. 

Mykhailo Mudryk to score anytime - 2/1

One of Chelsea’s most maligned signings has been Mykhailo Mudryk, with the Ukrainian struggling to hold down a place in the starting 11 over the last 12 months. His huge price tag has added to the pressure on a winger who was described as raw when the Blues prized him from Shakhtar in January 2023. 

The winger has taken some significant strides of late, scoring in two of the Blues’ last three home games. He also looked lively in his start against Leicester in their last game. While he didn’t score, he did do enough to keep his spot in the starting lineup.

Mudryk had a great international break, helping Ukraine to make Euro 2024 by scoring the winner in their deciding clash with Iceland on Tuesday, and that confidence boost should help him finish this season on a high note.

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Chelsea v Burnley odds

Chelsea - 2/7
Draw -
5/1
Burnley -
17/2

View the full market and more odds for Chelsea v Burnley on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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