Burnley v Derby County: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Burnley dropped out of the top two after the weekend fixtures as a four-game winning run was brought to an end and they will be looking to bounce back with three Championship points when they entertain Derby County on Tuesday.

The visitors have settled in well top life back in the second tier after winning promotion from League One last season, but their road form has been poor, and this trip to a team challenging for the title looks a big ask for the Rams.

Burnley v Derby County betting tips and predictions

Burnley win and both teams to score no - 6/4

Burnley were held to a 1-1 draw by promotion rivals Middlesbrough at Turf Moor but they were perhaps unlucky not to take maximum points.

Boro did have a slightly better xG, but the Clarets created more chances and enjoyed more possession and a similar level of performance will probably be enough to overcome Derby County.

Scott Parker’s men remain unbeaten on home soil in the Championship, winning five of their nine games at their East Lancashire base.

Derby have managed just one win in 10 attempts on their travels, losing six of those games and scoring just nine goals in the process.

A home win is clearly the more likely result and Burnley are currently priced at 7/10 to secure all three points, but at a juicier 6/4 a win for the hosts accompanied by a clean sheet stands out.

Burnley’s impressive home record has been built on some solid defensive foundations as their backline has been breached just three times at Turf Moor.

The Clarets have conceded just twice in their last eight games overall and they face a Derby side who are scoring on average under a goal per-game away from home.

Josh Brownhill to score anytime - 5/1

Home skipper Josh Brownhill stands out as a fantastic anytime scorer option at what seems a generous 5/1 here.

The midfielder was forced to miss the recent win over Coventry City with a knock, but made a goalscoring return as a substitute in the win at Stoke City, while he also provided the assist for the Clarets’ leveller against Boro at the weekend.

Brownhill is Burnley’s top scorer with six goals in the Championship and he will probably be on penalty duties against Derby, so he may be able to add to his haul for the season on Tuesday.

Ebou Adams to be booked - 21/10

Derby midfielder Ebou Adams returns from a one-game suspension on Tuesday and he stands out as a clear candidate to be booked.

Adams has five bookings in 18 games this season and has nine yellow cards in his last 29 Championship appearances, having picked up a few during his time with Cardiff City last term.

The Gambia international averages a hefty 1.9 fouls-per-game in the Championship and that figure rises to 2.2 per-game in away fixtures.

Adams has picked up bookings in two of his last three away appearances, so there is a reasonable chance he could end up in the referee’s notebook once again at Turf Moor.

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Burnley v Derby County odds

Burnley - 7/10
Draw - 13/5
Derby County - 4/1

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.