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Brighton v Everton: Tips, predictions & odds

Everton will use last season’s 5-1 win at the Amex as inspiration as they go in search of a much-needed win against Europe-chasing Brighton to ease them away from the bottom three.

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Brighton v Everton tips and predictions

Draw or Everton Double Chance @ 10/11

Everton inched clear of the relegation places on Monday with a 1-1 draw at home to Crystal Palace but will see that as two points dropped rather than one gained as they prepare for the tricky trip to Brighton.

Last May the Toffees produced an extraordinary 5-1 win at Brighton, all the more remarkable because that result for the Seagulls was sandwiched betweens wins over Manchester United and Arsenal.

What Sean Dyche wouldn’t give for a win at the Amex, never mind a landslide, in their quest for survival, and they should feel confident they can get something from this game.

For starters, Everton’s results are better away than at Goodison Park - they have chalked up five wins and 17 points on the road compared to just three wins and 13 points at home. Take ten points off for their deduction and that’s why they are sitting in 17th place rather than 12th.

Their story is becoming a familiar one of too many missed chances but you feel their fortunes have to turn eventually.

Against Palace they unloaded 19 shots and are averaging around 14 shots per match. That’s in the Premier League’s top ten of shots on goal. Yet only Burnley and Sheffield United have scored fewer goals.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin can’t buy a goal and if there are no contributions from the likes of Dwight McNeil, Abdoulaye Doucoure and others then the Toffees are going to be doomed.

But they’ll fancy this trip to a Brighton side who will dominate possession and offer plenty of threats - but they are also very inconsistent. Capable of going to Sheffield United last weekend and winning 5-0 (all five goals after the Blades had been reduced to ten men) just three weeks after being battered 4-0 at Luton.

Everton have lost only one of their last five in the league - 2-0 at Manchester City - with the other four all draws. They are rolling their sleeves up and they aren’t getting pummeled and they should be confident they can avoid defeat on the Sussex coast.

James Tarkowski Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 5/2

It’s quite telling that Everton are the only team in the Premier League to score more goals from set-pieces than open play and good delivery from free-kicks and corners is a definite weapon at the Amex, as it is anywhere.

They won only three corners against Palace and unsurprisingly Andre Onana’s equaliser was direct from one of those.

And from other crosses and free-kicks they were a menace, none more so than central defender James Tarkowski who had two outstanding chances to score with headers, one going over, the other saved.

Tarkowski is one of many aerial threats in the Toffees’ line-up and if the delivery is right they are all threats.

The England defender has had the same amount of shots on target as Beto - which arguably says more about the striker - and looks a fair price at 5/2 to have a shot on target at Brighton.

No Goal Before 26:00 @ 5/6

Everton have won only one of their last 12 but they have stopped losing many games and are certainly conceding fewer goals.

Their last eight games in all competitions have produced 12 goals, half of which came in the fixtures against big-hitters Manchester City and Spurs.

Of those 12 goals only one came before the 26th minute was on the clock and it’s worth backing no early goal at the Amex.

Certainly Everton will be on the back foot from the off and Brighton do score - and concede - in hefty numbers. They were 2-0 up at Bramall Lane inside 26 minutes though both of those goals arrived after Sheffield United had been reduced to 10 men.

Everton, fighting for their lives, will be a tougher nut to crack and a side who can stand firm for the best part of half an hour.

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Brighton v Everton odds

Brighton - 5/6
Draw -
14/5
Everton -
16/5

View the full market and more odds for Brighton v Everton on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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