Bournemouth v West Ham United: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Julen Lopetegui’s hopes of staying at West Ham United received a boost with last Monday’s win over Wolves.

However, the Hammers needed fortune to come through that vital relegation six-pointer and, a week on from that victory, they face a huge step up when they head to in-form Bournemouth.

Andoni Iraola is the kind of manager that West Ham fans were looking for when Lopetegui replaced David Moyes last summer. The Spaniard has Bournemouth playing some fantastic football, pushing them into European contention. 

Bournemouth v West Ham United betting tips and predictions

Bournemouth to win - 7/10

West Ham may have picked off one of their struggling rivals at the bottom last time out, but the Hammers leave home comforts behind to meet an in-form side this time around, as Bournemouth were just three points shy of the Champions League spots heading into the weekend following a three-game winning streak. 

Bournemouth’s wins in that stretch have come alongside some brilliant underlying numbers, as they’ve recorded at least 3.2 Expected Goals in each. Given that the Hammers lost the xG battle in Monday’s win over Wolves, they’re likely to struggle against a Cherries side who have topped that metric in nine of their last 10 Premier League matches.

The Cherries have also put together a run of four wins in five at home, which has seen them take down the likes of Arsenal, Manchester City and Tottenham. Matching up with the league’s elite was Iraola’s Achilles heel last season, but his team have been consistently strong against strugglers during his 18 months in England.

Bournemouth have won five of their seven clashes with sides who started this weekend in the bottom half. The hosts look far too strong for the Hammers, so back them to secure all three points. 

Marcus Tavernier anytime score - 12/5

One player quietly going under the radar for Bournemouth is attacking midfielder Marcus Tavernier. He’s been versatile enough to cover five different positions across the Cherries’ last three games, while he continues to put himself into good positions.

Tavernier has accumulated 1.5 Expected Goals in that three-match run without finding the back of the net. He has laid on two goals for his teammates in that spell too.

However, Tavernier is underperforming his xG tally, scoring just one goal despite racking up a total of 4.1 xG across his 13 starts. Last season the midfielder’s scoring tally evened out with the quality of his chances and that should happen again this term, making him one to watch in the anytime goalscorer market. 

Dean Huijsen over 0.5 shots on target and Kepa Arrizabalaga to make over 2.5 saves - 9/2

Bournemouth average over six corners per game this season and they can find plenty of joy in that area against West Ham. Only three sides in the league have conceded more goals from set pieces than the Hammers, while the Cherries’ centre-halves tend to be difficult to deal with in those situations.

Dean Huijsen has nailed down a place in the side with Marcos Senesi out and he scored the winner in Bournemouth’s last home game. The defender is averaging a shot every 70 minutes across his last seven appearances, so he’s likely to pose the Hammers some issues.

However, West Ham are a side who can create chances - although they can struggle to finish. Bournemouth do tend to leave themselves open, with Kepa Arrizabalaga averaging 3.3 saves per game. 

Opposition goalkeepers have made 50 saves across West Ham’s 15 games so far, saving 73% of their efforts on target. With action expected at both ends, Kepa to make three or more saves pairs well with an effort on target from Huijsen.

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Bournemouth v West Ham United odds

Bournemouth - 7/10
Draw - 16/5
West Ham United - 7/2

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.