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Borussia Dortmund v PSV Eindhoven: Predictions, Tips and Odds

Borussia Dortmund came through arguably the toughest section in the 2023/24 Champions League group stage, seeing off PSG, AC Milan and Newcastle to win Group F.

However, their last-16 tie with PSV is finely poised after a Luuk de Jong penalty cancelled out Donyell Malen's opener for Dortmund in the first leg in Eindhoven.

Borussia Dortmund v PSV Eindhoven betting tips and predictions

Over 3.5 goals – 11/8

Both Borussia Dortmund and PSV look stronger in attack than in defence so a cagey second leg at the Westfalenstadion is unlikely.

PSV have routed their rivals in this season's Eredivisie, scoring 80 goals in 25 matches and taking 69 points from a possible 75.

They have conceded only 13 goals in the Dutch top flight but their defence has looked less secure in the Champions League and their only clean sheet in 11 games, including qualifying matches, came at home to Lens.

PSV's away results in the group stage included a 4-0 defeat at Arsenal, who were 3-0 up at half-time, and a 3-2 win at Sevilla while they also drew 2-2 with Rangers at Ibrox in the final round of qualifying.

Over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in five of PSV's last six Champions League away fixtures and it looks a solid selection on Wednesday.

The visitors, with the prolific Luuk de Jong flanked by classy wingers Hirving Lozano and Johan Bakayoko, should fancy their chances of breaching a BVB defence missing the suspended Nico Schlotterbeck.

But Dortmund have creative threats all over the pitch and they will be cheered on by a packed house at the Westfalenstadion.

Marco Reus and Manchester United loanee Jadon Sancho started the first leg but dynamic Germany internationals Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi could get the nod alongside Malen and striker Niclas Fullkrug in an exciting attacking unit.

Dortmund have scored 20 goals in nine Bundesliga games since the winter break so a lively second leg is on the cards.

Donyell Malen to be first goalscorer – 15/2

Former PSV winger Malen was the main attacking threat on either side in the first leg, scoring the opening goal and registering four of Dortmund's five shots on target.

The Netherlands international is certainly worth backing once he gets on a hot scoring streak.

He finished last season with seven goals in his last nine Bundesliga appearances and scored four times in his first five club games this term.

And Malen has been in scintillating form over the past six weeks, racking up seven goals in his last seven outings in all competitions.

Five of those strikes have come in the first 25 minutes of games so he looks a good bet to open the scoring against his old teammates.

Ian Maatsen to be booked – 5/2

Like Malen, Dortmund's Ian Maatsen knows PSV well, having spent three years at the club as a youth player before joining Chelsea in 2019.

After loan spells at Charlton, Coventry and Burnley, the left-back was sent out to Dortmund in January and he can expect another testing 90 minutes against PSV winger Bakayoko.

Maatsen, an attack-minded full-back, was booked in the first leg and has picked up three yellow cards in his first nine Bundesliga appearances for Dortmund.

The 22-year-old was cautioned 26 times in 104 EFL starts at his three loan clubs and his limited experience against top-class attackers suggests he is worth backing to be shown a card in what should be an open game.

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site

Borussia Dortmund v PSV Eindhoven odds

Borussia Dortmund - 21/20
Draw - 14/5
PSV Eindhoven - 11/5

View the full market and more odds for Borussia Dortmund v PSV Eindhoven on site.

Read Borussia Dortmund v PSV Eindhoven how to watch, TV channel, head-to-head stats, team news and more on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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