Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona: Prediction and Tips

Barcelona are favourites for the UEFA Champions League following their convincing 4-0 win at home to Borussia Dortmund last week and the Catalan giants won't want to see standards drop in the second leg in Germany despite their comfortable situation.

It is almost impossible to envisage a comeback from Dortmund, who are a shadow of the side that made last season’s final and who sit down in eighth in the Bundesliga.

Barca, meanwhile, find themselves on a 24-game unbeaten run and are also in control of the La Liga title race, leading Real Madrid by four points.

Contents

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Betting Tips

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Head to Head

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds (%)
Barcelona to win	52.70%	5/6	54.5%
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Barcelona	N/A	16/1	5.9%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• Barcelona are unbeaten in 24 matches in all competitions

• Barcelona have won nine of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches

• With 12 goals and seven assists, Raphinha has more goal contributions than any other player this season

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Barcelona to win & both teams to score	15/8
Raphinha to score or assist	8/13
Under 3.5 cards	11/10

Barcelona to win & both teams to score - 15/8

Hansi Flick’s visitors have won nine of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches and they should make it a hat-trick of wins over Dortmund in this season’s competition.

Barca clearly don’t need to win after last week’s 4-0 demolition at their temporary home, where they had 18 shots, with 10 of those efforts hitting the target.

The Catalans were also 3-2 victors at Dortmund in the league phase of the competition and that means that they have racked up 36 goals across their 11 UEFA Champions League outings, not suffering defeat since a 2-1 reverse at Monaco on Matchday One back in September.

Dortmund’s desperation to be competitive from four goals down could see them find a breakthrough, but it is also going to leave them easier to expose defensively.

BVB played out a 2-2 draw at Bayern Munich on Saturday and they did have 13 shots in the opening-leg defeat, so clearly carry some sort of attacking threat.

So, while Barca can make it 10 wins in their last 11 UEFA Champions League games, Dortmund can grab a consolation given that the visitors have conceded in eight of their last nine away games in Europe.

Raphinha to score or assist - 8/13

Raphinha equalled Lionel Messi's club record for goal involvements in a single UEFA Champions League campaign in last week’s thumping success, scoring and assisting twice.

The Brazilian has reached 19 goal involvements in the competition this season, scoring 12 times with seven assists, and is averaging a strike every 77 minutes.

Flick may make some changes given the luxury position they find themselves in, but Raphinha will be keen to enhance his reputation and did score the opening goal in Barca’s 3-2 victory here in December.

Under 3.5 cards - 11/10

There were only two bookings in the first leg, both of which were given to Dortmund players and Barca’s big lead in the tie means that it may not be the most fiery of encounters.

The Catalans conceded only four fouls in the 4-0 win last week and they won’t want to risk any suspensions, so should be in full control of their emotions.

Dortmund may have also accepted their fate, so this may be played in a friendly spirit with minimal breaks in play.

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Head to Head

Previous Meetings	4
Borussia Dortmund Wins	0
Barcelona Wins	3
Draws	1
First Game	0-0 draw (UEFA Champions League, September 2019)
Last Game	4-0 Barcelona (UEFA Champions League, April 2025)

Barca are yet to taste defeat in four UEFA Champions League meetings with Dortmund and two of those rivalries have come in this season’s competition.

The Catalan giants are in complete control of this quarter-final tie following last week’s 4-0 rout at the Estadi Olímpic Lluis Companys, where Robert Lewandowski starred with a second-half brace against one of his former clubs.

Barca also had the edge when they faced off against Dortmund in this season’s league phase, winning 3-2 in December in a thrilling contest where all five goals were scored in the second half.

Supercomputer Prediction

Borussia Dortmund	25.90%
Draw	21.30%
Barcelona	52.70%

The odds suggest Barcelona are favourites to beat Borussia Dortmund in this UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg and have a 54.5% chance of winning in 90 minutes, while the BetSie Supercomputer gives the away side a 52.7% chance of winning the match.

The BetSie Supercomputer believes Borussia Dortmund have a 25.9% chance of winning this match in front of their home fans.

According to the betting odds, a 3-2 win for the visitors has a 5.9% chance of happening.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Anton, Bensebaini; Gross, Nmecha, Brandt; Gittens; Guirassy, Beier.

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Szczesny; Kounde, Araujo, Cubarsi, Martin; Pedri, De Jong; Yamal, Lopez, Raphinha; Lewandowski.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.