Underachieving Nottingham Forest play host to Manchester City on Saturday evening, looking for their first home win of the season.
Oliver Glasner is understandably bemoaning his side's bad luck, with certain outlets ranking the Tricky Trees third in the xGD table behind Arsenal and Manchester City.
Unfortunately for Forest, the actual Premier League table has them in 19th, very much in need of some positive results.
For Manchester City, they've looked less convincing after reeling off a perfect seven wins to start the season, ending a three-game winless run with a 3-2 victory against RB Leipzig in midweek.
Matthew O'Regan, Steve Freeth and Gavin Horsfall put together a 70/1 Bet Builder for the game on the Football Betting Club podcast, expecting both teams to experience some disciplinary issues.
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Prediction & Tips
Bet Builder tip:
Daniel Munoz to be booked
James McAtee to have 1+ shots on target from outside the box
Ruben Dias to commit 2+ fouls
Pays 70/1
Matthew said: I'm on Daniel Munoz the Forest right-back to be booked simply because he's up against Doku. Six right-backs against City have been booked this season, and he was booked for the first time this season in his last game off the bench, so he's obviously got a taste for it.
"Over his last two Premier League seasons, he's averaging 0.27 yellows per 90—a decent record, and we all know how scary Doku can be. So he could make it seven right-backs booked."
Steve said: "I've gone with our former-club angle, which we love. Forest are yet to win at home and now host Manchester City, with a manager who could possibly be under pressure—surely not! James McAtee, of course, who used to play for Manchester City, has had 16 shots so far, with 14 coming from outside the box and five on target.
"He's basically averaging two shots a game having only played 700 minutes or so this season. So I'm going for him to have a shot on target from outside the box at 11/2. Throw it in the Bet Builder."
Gavin said: "It's all gone a bit chaotic for City since that back-to-the-wall, we'll-beat-everyone 3-0 win at Anfield, perhaps with reality setting in and dawning on them what the situation is, though Forest certainly represent a bit of a step down in class. Still, I want to back some disciplinary issues here for Ruben Dias.
"He's committed two or more fouls in four of his last five league games—drew a blank against Brighton, but then 3, 2, 2, and 5 fouls in the four prior matches. He's 9/4 here to commit two or more fouls, which will do me. Stick those together, gents, for a 70/1 Bet Builder."
Key Match Stats
Nottingham Forest have scored just two goals in their last five games
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