Barcelona v Benfica: Free Prediction and Tips

Barcelona are in the box seat for a place in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals after winning 1-0 at Benfica in the first leg, but it's a narrow enough margin to ensure plenty of tension at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.

Barca skipper Raphinha netted the only goal of the game in Lisbon, with the Catalans more than happy to leave with a single-goal advantage after having defender Pau Cubarsi sent off after just 22 minutes of the game.

Contents

Barcelona v Benfica Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Barcelona v Benfica Free Betting Tips

Barcelona v Benfica Head to Head

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Barcelona v Benfica Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds (%)
Barcelona to win	64.9%	4/11	73.3%
Barcelona 4-2 Benfica	N/A	22/1	4.3%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• Barcelona are unbeaten in 16 matches since the turn of the year.

• Benfica's Vangelis Pavlidis has scored 12 goals in his last 12 appearances.

• Barcelona have scored four or more goals in 18 of 41 matches in all competitions.

Barcelona v Benfica Free Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Barcelona & Over 3.5 Goals	13/10
Raphinha To Have Over 1.5 Shots on target	11/10
Vangelis Pavlidis To Have Over 0.5 Shots on Target	10/11

Barcelona & Over 3.5 Goals - 13/10

Barcelona and Benfica meet for the third time in this season's UEFA Champions League with the Spaniards in control of their last-16 tie.

These European giants met last Wednesday in the Estadio da Luz where Barca eked out a narrow 1-0 success thanks to Raphinha's goal.

Their success was all the more impressive since they played the majority of the game with just 10 men following a 22nd minute red card shown to Pau Cubarsi.

Benfica threw everything at the Spanish aces in a bid to find an equaliser, piling up 26 shots, with an inspired Wojciech Szczesny in the Barca goal pulling off eight saves.

On any other night that match could easily have finished something like 4-5 which, by coincidence, was exactly the scoreline when the sides previously met in January on Matchday 7 of the league phase.

And, heading into the second leg of this tie and given that the first two meetings between these two this season have produced an eye-watering 68 shots, it would be fair to expect more chances and more goals at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.

The second leg in Benfica's play-off round clash with Monaco certainly delivered on the entertainment.

Like this tie, that showdown saw a 1-0 away win in the first leg, with the second 90 minutes producing a 3-3 thriller in Lisbon.

Barca are the top scorers in this season's competition with 28 goals - that despite having played two fixtures less than teams who went through the play-off round - and are by a country mile the highest scorers in La Liga with 71 goals scored in 26 matches.

They have had a week off following the postponement of Saturday's game against Osasuna, but in their last two domestic games beat Real Sociedad 4-0 and scored another four in a 4-4 draw with Atletico Madrid.

Their games are generally entertaining and the same can be said of Benfica's.

League matches involving the Primeira Liga's second-placed side average 3.1 goals and they have no option but to be positive in Catalonia as they seek to overturn their first-leg loss.

Raphinha To Have Over 1.5 Shots on target - 11/10

Barcelona's famed front three did far more defensive work than attacking in Lisbon last week, helping their 10-man side to a precious 1-0 win.

Robert Lewandowski worked tirelessly in retreat, while Lamine Yamal had a quiet night with his hands full against Alvaro Carreras.

Raphinha, on the other flank, also worked his socks off and scored the only goal with one of the three shots he fired off.

When these sides met in the league phase in January, Raphinha had seven shots, converting twice as his team came from 4-2 down to win 5-4.

The Brazilian is averaging 3.2 shots per game in La Liga this season and 4.1 in the UEFA Champions League, meaning that the the former Leeds United star is attractive at 11/10 to have over 1.5 shots on target.

Vangelis Pavlidis To Have Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 10/11

Benfica have no shortage of their own firepower with Vangelis Pavlidis leading the way with seven goals.

Pavlidis has also had an impressive 17 shots on target in his 11 UEFA Champions League outings, a tally better only by four other players.

The Greek ace has scored 19 goals this season in all competitions - with goals in eight of his last 10 - and we know he can find a way past Szczesny, having bagged a hat-trick in the 5-4 home loss to Barca in January.

Barcelona v Benfica Head to Head

Previous Meetings	11
Barcelona Wins	5
Benfica Wins	2
Draws	4
First Game	Benfica 3 Barcelona 2 (May 30th 1961)
Last Game	Benfica 0 Barcelona 1 (March 5th 2025)

Supercomputer Prediction

Barcelona	64.9%
Draw	18.5%
Benfica	16.6%

The odds suggest Barcelona have a 73.3% chance of beating Benfica on Tuesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer rates Barcelona's chances at 64.9%.

The BetSie Supercomputer believes Benfica have a 16.6% chance of securing the victory they need to stay in the tie.

According to the betting odds, a 4-2 home win has a 4.3% chance of happening.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Szczęsny; Koundé, Eric García, Iñigo Martínez, Balde; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Olmo, Raphinha; Lewandowski.

Benfica

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Trubin; Tomás Araújo, António Silva, Otamendi, Dahl; Orkun Kökçü, Aursnes, Barreiro; Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Pavlidis, Schjelderup.

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