Atletico Madrid v Slovan Bratislava: Prediction and Tips

Atletico Madrid are the only side in the history of the UEFA Champions League to make three finals without lifting the trophy, but Diego Simeone's side should have no issues in making it 12 points from six games this season by seeing off Slovan Bratislava.

Contents

Atletico Madrid v Slovan Bratislava Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Supercomputer Prediction

Atletico Madrid v Slovan Bratislava Betting Tips

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Atletico Madrid v Slovan Bratislava Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds %
Atletico Madrid to win	92.5%	1/14	93.3%
Atletico Madrid 4-0 Slovan Bratislava	N/A	13/2	13.3%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• No side had conceded more goals in the UEFA Champions League than Slovan's 18 ahead of Matchday Six

• Atletico Madrid have won each of their last nine matches

• Diego Simeone's side have scored 27 goals in that sensational run, netting 18 in their last four games alone

Supercomputer Prediction

Atletico Madrid	92.5%
Draw	5.9%
Slovan Bratislava	1.6%

The odds suggest that La Liga giants Atletico Madrid have a massive 93.3% chance of beating Slovan Bratislava in their upcoming fixture.

The BetSie Supercomputer also heavily favours an Atletico Madrid victory and rates Slovan Bratislava chances at just 1.6% of pulling off a famous victory.

Atletico Madrid v Slovan Bratislava Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Atletico Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals	4/5
Rodrigo De Paul to score or assist	20/21
Guram Kashia to be booked	9/4

Atletico Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals - 4/5

With Atletico on a nine-game winning streak and Slovan without a UEFA Champions League point after five matches, it is difficult to envisage the Slovakian visitors getting much joy from their trip to the Estadio Metropolitano. 

Atleti have beaten PSG 2-1 and routed Sparta Prague 6-0 in their last two European outings and it is fair to say that the idea of Simeone being a defensive manager is quickly fizzling out, as shown by his side’s thrilling 4-3 win over Sevilla on Sunday. 

That is bad news for Slovan , who had conceded a UEFA Champions League-high 18 goals after five games and are second-bottom without a point to their name. 

The defensive record of Vladimir Weiss’ side combined with the rampant scoring nature of Atleti means nothing other than a home win should be expected, and both of those facts also make over 3.5 goals an appealing bet. 

Each of their last four matches have gone over 3.5 goals while the same bet has landed in four of Slovan’s five UEFA Champions League league phase games. 

Weiss’ men did net twice against AC Milan - a side who beat Real Madrid earlier on in the competition - in their last European outing, suggesting they could help add to a high scoring tally at the Estadio Metropolitano, further enhancing the appeal of a home win and over 3.5 goals. 

Rodrigo De Paul to score or assist - 20/21

There is not much value in backing Atletico’s usual goal-getters to find the net on Wednesday, with Julian Alvarez 4/9 to score and Antoine Griezmann a similarly short 8/13. 

Therefore, a better route to profit could be to side with a midfielder to inflict damage on a weak Slovan defence and, with the visitors conceding at least twice in all of their league phase games, there are a few who could get in on the act.

However, going by form alone, Rodrigo De Paul is the standout option at the prices.

The Argentinian midfielder has scored two goals and provided two assists in his last three appearances and his energetic and tenacious approach means he will not ease up, even if Atletico do roar into an early lead. 

Ilkay Gundogan, Phil Foden and James McAtee were all on target for Manchester City in their 4-0 rout of Slovan, suggesting the Slovaks tend to struggle with runners from midfield, making the 20/21 price for De Paul to score or assist worth taking.

Guram Kashia to be booked - 9/4

With Atletico expected to dominate proceedings, Slovan's backline may be under pressure for long periods and the legs of 37-year-old Guram Kashia may struggle to cope with that continued bombardment.

The Georgian centre-back was one of his nation’s standout performers at Euro 2024, but he rarely had to face a front two with the quality of Griezmann and Alvarez, who could give the ageing defender a torrid time on Wednesday. 

Kashia has been booked three times in his last six starts for club and country and he is the standout name in the cards market. 

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Oblak; Llorente, Gimenez, Lenglet, Galan; Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino; Griezmann, Alvarez.

Slovan Bratislava

Formation: 3-4-3
Team: Takac, Bajric, Kashia, Voet; Blackman, Savvidis, Kucka, Ignatenko, Zuberu; Barseghyan, Weiss, Strelec.

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