Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

South American champions Botafogo shocked Paris Saint-Germain in their second Club World Cup Group B game and a draw against Atletico Madrid on matchday three would seal their place in the last 16. 

The permutations are more complicated for Diego Simeone's Atleti, who lost 4-0 to PSG in their opening Club World Cup fixture before a 3-1 win over Seattle Sounders.

If PSG beat Seattle, then Atleti will need to win by three goals to overturn their goal-difference deficit and Botafogo defended superbly in their 1-0 victory over the UEFA Champions League winners last time out.

Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Draw	8/11
Best Bet	Julian Alvarez to be first goalscorer	5/1
Bet Builder	Both teams to score, Alexander Barboza to be booked, Javier Galan to be booked	12/1

Key Match Stats

• Five of Atletico Madrid's last six games produced over 3.5 goals.

• Atletico have scored three or more goals in six of their last 10 matches.

• Julian Alvarez scored 10 goals in his last 13 La Liga appearances for Atletico in 2024/25.

• Three of Botafogo's last five wins were by a 1-0 scoreline.

• Botafogo have won eight of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Prediction

Best Bet: Julian Alvarez to be first goalscorer @ 5/1

PSG's forwards were unable to breach Botafogo's defence on matchday two, but Atletico hotshot Julian Alvarez is a tempting first-goalscorer bet.

Alvarez had four shots against Seattle Sounders, curling an effort just wide in the first half and clipping the crossbar with a brilliant volley after the break.

He had a superb first season for Atleti, scoring 24 goals in 40 starts in La Liga and the UEFA Champions League, and looks the main threat to the South American champions.

James Milton explains:

Julian Alvarez is full of confidence after a prolific campaign for Atletico and he should be backed to break the deadlock in Monday's must-win clash.

Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Bet Builder Tip

• Both teams to score

• Alexander Barboza to be booked

• Javi Galan to be booked
  

  Pays 12/1

Atletico cannot afford to sit back if they are to reach the knockout stages so the contest should open up and both teams to score is the foundation of this Bet Builder.

Both sides enjoy the physical side of the game and Botafogo centre-back Alexander Barboza, booked three times in five Serie A starts this term, may well add to his card collection.

Another player who may struggle to stay out of trouble in Pasadena is Atletico left-back Javi Galan, who was cautioned eight times in just 21 La Liga starts in 2024/25. 

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James Milton adds:

Backing both teams to score looks a good option as Atleti will have to take risks to make up their goal-difference deficit, while it could be a busy 90 minutes for the match officials.

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Tactics, Form and Team News

Diego Simeone may restore Antoine Griezmann to the starting line-up, with fellow forward Alexander Sorloth dropping to the bench.

Sorloth did plenty of damage as a substitute in La Liga, finishing the season as Atletico's top scorer with 20 goals, despite starting only 15 times.

Centre-back Clement Lenglet returns from suspension after his red card against PSG and he should come straight back into the side as fellow defender Jose Maria Gimenez is a fitness doubt.

If hot favourites PSG beat Seattle, then Atleti must win by three or more goals to avoid a group-stage exit.

They can take heart from the fact that they won four of their last six league matches by margins of 3-0, 4-0, 4-1 and 4-0.

Expected Atletico Madrid line-up (4-4-2): Oblak; Molina, Le Normand, Lenglet, Galan; Simeone, De Paul, Koke, Barrios; Griezmann, Alvarez.

Botafogo head coach Renato Paiva is unlikely to make many changes to the team who shocked PSG on matchday two.

Winger Cuiabano, reportedly a transfer target for Nottingham Forest, has recovered from a back injury and came off the bench against the Parisians.

Botafogo defended well after Igor Jesus scored in the first half against PSG, who had 75 per cent of possession and racked up 16 shots to their opponents' four.

Seattle Sounders won the shots battle 23-12 in their opening 2-1 defeat to Botafogo, whose goalkeeper John could be in the firing line once again when the Brazilians take on Atletico.

Expected Botafogo line-up (4-3-3): John; Vitinho, Cunha, Barboza, Telles; Gregore, Allan, Freitas; Artur, Jesus, Savarino.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.