Atalanta are on a five-game winless run but they have been up against some elite Serie A teams and have been efficient when meeting weaker opposition in this competition.
Sturm Graz look to be heading out of the competition after losing five of their first six games and only wins over Atalanta and RB Leipzig in their last two matches would give them any chance of progressing to the play-offs.
Contents |
Tip | Current Odds |
Atalanta -2 on handicap | |
Ademola Lookman anytime goalscorer | |
William Boving Vick over 0.5 shots on target |
Atalanta -2 on handicap - 7/5
Atalanta failed to win for the fifth successive match when they were beaten 3-2 at home by Napoli on Saturday but they gave a good account of themselves against the Serie A leaders and that was only their second home loss of the season.
Head coach Gian Piero Gasperini came under fire from supporters after substituting Ademola Lookman and Lazar Samardzic when his team were pushing for a winner at 2-2 but those supporters should be happier after Tuesday's league phase match against Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League.
Atlanta have had some strong European results this season, drawing at home to Arsenal, winning 2-0 at Stuttgart and giving Real Madrid a real test in a 3-2 defeat, while they have also had some clear-cut wins against weaker teams, beating Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 and hammering Young Boys 6-1 in Switzerland.
Sturm Graz have lost five of their six UEFA Champions League games against Brest, Club Brugge, Sporting, Borussia Dortmund and Lille, and Atalanta should have few problems adding their name to that list.
The Austrians won 1-0 at home to Girona in their fifth fixture, but were weakened over the winter break when striker Mika Biereth, who scored the winning goal in that game, left to join Monaco, while tough-tackling defender Jusuf Gazibegovic has also been sold, joining Cologne.
The stage is set for Atalanta to take out their frustrations of their recent tough run against weaker opposition and the home side are capable of winning by at least three goals.
Ademola Lookman anytime goalscorer - 20/21
Ademola Lookman became the second Atlanta player to reach 10 Serie A goals this season in Saturday's high-profile match against Napoli and the London-born star looks a decent bet to get on the scoresheet again on Tuesday.
Lookman has scored in three of Atlanta's five UEFA Champions League games, netting the second goal against Shakhtar Donetsk, opening the scoring in Stuttgart and bagging the final goal of the match in the 3-2 loss to Real Madrid.
The former Charlton, Everton, Fulham, Leicester City and RB Leipzig star and his 14-goal teammate Mateo Retegui have helped to make Atalanta the second-highest scorers in Serie A this season and a Graz side who allowed Lille to have 18 goal attempts in their last European outing could struggle to keep him out.
William Boving Vick over 0.5 shots on target - 9/4
Sturm Graz have been selling off their top players over the winter break and Danish star William Boving Vick is another who could be departing in this window after reported interest from clubs around Europe.
The 21-year-old is not a prolific goalscorer but with Biereth no longer around he could shoulder more attacking responsibility and is a value selection to have a shot on target in the match.
Three of Boving Vick's four goals this season have come in his last five appearances for the club and he looks one of his team's best chances to make any kind of impression in the match.
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds % |
Atalanta to win | 84.5% | 85.7% | |
Atalanta win 3-0 | N/A | 13.3% |
Atalanta | 84.5% |
Draw | 11.0% |
Sturm Graz | 4.5% |
The odds suggest that Atalanta have a 84.5% chance of beating Sturm Graz on Tuesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is an even greater chance of that happening at 85.7%.
The BetSie Supercomputer believes that Sturm Graz have a 4.5% chance of winning their upcoming game against Atalanta.
A 3-0 victory for Atalanta has a 13.3% chance of happening according to the betting odds.
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Team: Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac; Bellanova, De Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Retegui.
Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Scherpen; Geyrhofer, Aiwu, Wuthrich, Lavalee; Chukwuani, Yalcouye, Stankovic, Kiteishvili; Boving Vick, Jatta.
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