Atalanta v Club Brugge: Prediction and Tips

Atalanta must try and overturn a 2-1 deficit against Club Brugge at home in their UEFA Champions League play-off, but they could find it tricky as their form on their own turf has been poor lately.

After last week's first game in Belgium, the Serie A side are back in Bergamo, but may find it tougher than expected against a spirited Brugge side.

Contents

Atalanta v Club Brugge Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Atalanta v Club Brugge Betting Tips

Atalanta v Club Brugge Head to Head

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Atalanta v Club Brugge Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds %
Draw	19.6%	7/2	22.2%
Atalanta 2-2 Club Brugge	N/A	14/1	6.7%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• Atalanta have won just one of their last six home games.
• Club Brugge are unbeaten in their last four games in all competitions.
• Atalanta have only scored one goal in their last three outings.

Atalanta v Club Brugge Betting Tips

Tip	Current odds
Draw	7/2
Gustaf Nilsson to score anytime	3/1
Davide Zappacosta - Over 1.5 shots	11/10

Draw - 10/3

Atalanta will believe they were somewhat unfortunate to lose the first leg as they had more shots and shots on target than the hosts in Belgium.

A controversial late penalty denied them what would have been a 1-1 draw away - a solid result - but now they have it all to do at home.

However, their recent form at the Stadio di Bergamo suggests they will struggle to recover sufficiently to go through on Tuesday.

La Dea began the month with a home 1-1 draw with Torino in Serie A, while they have also lost this month in the Coppa Italia to Bologna at home and, on Saturday, were held to a goalless draw by 14th-placed Cagliari in the league front of their own fans.

With Brugge determined to protect their lead in the tie as they eye a last-16 spot, Gian Piero Gasperini's men could be in for a difficult evening as they chase the goals they need to respond.

That could play into the visitors hands and they do look good enough to secure a draw on the night, which would be enough to see them through.

Nicky Hayen's side have already beaten Aston Villa and Sporting in the competition, while they have also picked up creditable draws with Celtic and Juventus.

Gustaf Nilsson to score anytime - 3/1

It was Gustaf Nilsson's spot-kick eight days ago that handed Club Brugge the win late on and he can get on the scoresheet again in the return game.

The Sweden international has had a decent campaign, hitting 11 goals in all competitions and he will be a lively threat on the break for the visitors on Tuesday.

Nilsson may start in a lone central role as the visitors attempt to stifle what should be an early Atalanta onslaught by flooding the midfield but he will surely still get some opportunities on the night.

Nilsson will be on penalty duty again in Italy, which is another reason why he may be the value pick in the goalscorer market.

Davide Zappacosta - Over 1.5 shots - 11/10

Atalanta full-back Davide Zappacosta has been operating as a more conventional midfielder at times this season and he will get forward regularly for the hosts so is well worth considering in the shots market.

Zappacosta, who has three goals this season, has had at least one shot in each of his last six games for La Dea and in the first leg alone he racked up four shots in total.

The 32-year-old has had more than one shot in 12 matches across the campaign overall so his attacking ability is evident and he's clearly given the licence to get forward when he can.

There seems a fair chance he can deliver two attempts on Wednesday as Atalanta go on the attack looking to recover the deficit, while the experienced Italy international remains a key cog in the hosts' side.

Atalanta v Club Brugge Head to Head

Previous Meetings	1
Atalanta Wins	0
Club Brugge Wins	1
Draws	0
First Game	Club Brugge 2-1 Atalanta (February 2025)
Last Game	Club Brugge 2-1 Atalanta (February 2025)

These two sides' only previous meeting was their first-leg clash in this tie, with the Belgians winning out 2-1 on home turf - with Ferran Jutgla's opener for the hosts cancelled out by Mario Pasilic, before Gustaf Nilsson converted a late penalty.

Supercomputer Prediction

Atalanta	66.7%
Draw	19.6%
Club Brugge	13.7%

The odds suggest Atalanta have a 67.6% chance of beating Club Brugge, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 66.7% chance of this outcome.

The BetSie computer rates hosts Club Brugge's chances of winning the match at 13.7%.

According to the betting odds, a 2-2 draw has a 6.7% chance of happening.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Atalanta

Formation: 3-4-1-2
Team: Patricio; Posch, Hien, Djimsiti; Bellanova, De Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta; Pasalic; De Ketelaere, Retegui.

Club Brugge

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Mignolet; Seys, Ordonez, Mechele, De Cuyper; Jashari, Oyedika; Talbi, Vanaken, Tzolis; Nilsson.

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