AC Milan v Crvena Zvezda: Prediction and Tips

AC Milan will aim to secure their fourth consecutive UEFA Champions League victory when they host Crvena Zvezda at Stadio San Siro on Wednesday night.

Contents

AC Milan v Crvena Zvezda Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Supercomputer Prediction

AC Milan v Crvena Zvezda Betting Tips

Predicted Starting Line-ups

AC Milan v Crvena Zvezda Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds %
AC Milan	81.8%	27/100	78.7%
AC Milan 3-1 Crvena Zvezda	N/A	10/1	9.1%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• AC Milan have won their last three UEFA Champions League matches, scoring three goals in each game.

• The Rossoneri have scored the first goal in four of their five UEFA Champions League matches this season.

• Crvena Zvezda have lost all 11 of their previous away matches in the UEFA Champions League group stages or league phase.

Supercomputer Prediction

AC Milan	81.8%
Draw	12.2%
Crvena Zvezda	6%

The odds suggest AC Milan have a 78.7% chance of beating Crvena Zvezda in this UEFA Champions League fixture.

The BetSie Supercomputer rates the Italians' likelihood of winning even higher, giving Milan a 81.8% chance of overcoming Crvena Zvezda at home.

AC Milan vs Crvena Zvezda Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
AC Milan -2	15/8
Alvaro Morata anytime	6/5
Over 3.5 Goals	6/5

AC Milan -2 Handicap Result - 15/8

Milan have found their rhythm in Europe after a slow start, winning their last three UEFA Champions League matches in stunning fashion.

The Rossoneri completely outplayed Real Madrid when beating the holders 3-1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu last month and were more dominant than the 3-2 scoreline suggests at Slovan Bratislava last time out.

Crvena Zvezda, meanwhile, have been poor travellers at this elite level for some time - losing their last 11 away matches outside of the qualifying rounds. 

Vadan Milovejevic’s men have conceded at least four goals in both of their previous league phase fixtures, going down 4-0 to Inter on their last visit to Milan and suffering a 5-1 reverse against Monaco at Stade Louis II in October.

They were then beaten 5-2 at home by Barcelona on Matchday Four, which makes their subsequent 5-1 win over Stuttgart even more of an outlier.

The Serbians’ poor away form enhances Milan’s prospects of covering the -2 handicap, which they have done in their last two domestic home games against Empoli and Sassuolo.

Alvaro Morata to score anytime - 6/5

Milan striker Alvaro Morata is on the verge of a significant milestone as the Spaniard needs just one more goal to reach 30 in the UEFA Champions League.

And this match looks like a superb opportunity for the former Atletico Madrid frontman to find the back of the net.

He has scored in two of Milan’s last three matches and looks set to start up front again.

With Christian Pulisic ruled out due to injury, more attacking responsibility will fall on Morata's shoulders. 

And he may assume the role of Milan’s penalty-taker in Pulisic’s absence, with both Tammy Abraham and Theo Hernandez having missed spot-kicks earlier this season. 

Given the visitors' defensive frailties away from home, Morata should have plenty of opportunities to find the net and reach his landmark 30th UEFA Champions League goal.

Over 3.5 Goals - 6/5

Recent matches involving both teams suggest we could be in for a high-scoring affair.

Milan have scored three goals in each of their last three UEFA Champions League games, while their defence has been less than watertight, keeping only one clean sheet in their last 15 matches in UEFA competitions.

Crvena Zvezda's European matches this season have been goal-laden, especially away from their Stadion Rakjo Mitic home. 

They have conceded at least four goals in both of their away European fixtures and an additional eight across their three home outings in the UEFA Champions League.

None of Crvena Zvezda's last 22 group stage or league phase games have finished goalless, which suggests the deadlock will be broken at some point and, with Milan's attacking prowess, over 3.5 goals looks a strong possibility.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

AC Milan

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Maignan; Calabria, Tomori, Thiaw, Hernandez; Fofana, Reijnders; Chukwueze, Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leao; Morata.

Crvena Zvezda

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Gutesa; Mimovic, Djiga, Spajic, Young-woo; Elsnik, Krunic; Silas; Maksimovic, Milson; Ndiaye.

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