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Premier League Final Day Preview

The nerve-shredding final day of the Premier League season is upon us with plenty of issues still to be decided at both ends of the table.

Original article published 29 August 2022

Will it be Manchester City or Liverpool who take the title? Which north London club will be playing in next season's Champions League? And who of the struggling Pennines pair will retain their top-flight status?

It is sure to be a rollercoaster final day, with all the permutations listed in our Who Needs What on the Final Day article.

Top of the table

1Manchester City3728637290

Four in five for City, or domestic treble for Reds?

Of course, the main focus on Sunday will be the title tussle. Manchester City lead Liverpool by a point and are 1/7 to win a fourth Premier League title in five years, with the Reds 5/1.

Pep Guardiola's men host an Aston Villa side who sit a relatively disappointing 14th in the table, a position boss Steven Gerrard has branded unacceptable.

Gerrard's allegiance to Liverpool as a player has led to suggestions that Villa could cause an upset, with them 4/1 in the Double Chance market, but the 41-year-old is adamant that he is focused on his own side and nothing else.

City came from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 at West Ham last Sunday, seeing a Riyad Mahrez penalty saved in the process, and could be boosted by the returns of Kyle Walker and John Stones.

Even so, they can be vulnerable at the back. They are 7/4 to win with both teams scoring and could a familiar face be the key?

Neither Jack Grealish nor the Villans have been the same since parting ways last summer and the England man's tally of three Premier League goals is way below expectations.

While he is unlikely to celebrate if he scores, Grealish will be desperate to prove he made the right call by leaving his boyhood club and is 6/5 to net at anytime.

Reds have a job to do

Regardless of the result at the Etihad, Liverpool will still be looking to beat Wolves and set themselves up for next Saturday's Champions League final against Real Madrid, with the Reds 8/15 to win a seventh European Cup, with the League Cup and FA Cup already in the bag.

That trio and the Premier League for a quadruple is 8/1 and, even if they don't top the final standings, they should still finish a fantastic domestic season with a win against a Wolves.

Bruno Lage's side are engulfed in an air of malaise after seeing their European push evaporate following a winless run of six without a victory.

The Molineux club haven't won at Anfield since 2010 and are 14/1 to snap that run. That price demonstrates the size of their task and a Liverpool win and over 3.5 goals in the game may be more realistic at 6/5.

Top-four battle


Spurs to edge top-four tussle

On 12th May, Arsenal looked in charge of the top-four race and a win that evening at Tottenham would have sealed their return to the Champions League.

However, they were soundly beaten 3-0 and compounded that defeat with a tame 2-0 loss at Newcastle United next time out.

In contrast, Spurs backed up that result with a battling 1-0 victory at home to Burnley and they enjoy a two-point cushion over their north London rivals, while a far superior goal difference means a draw at already-relegated Norwich City will see them seal fourth.

They are 1/4 to win at Carrow Road and despite rumours of a food poisoning outbreak in the camp, head coach Antonio Conte has insisted that all is well.

Similar to Liverpool, 1/3 Arsenal need to do their job by beating Everton and hope results elsewhere go their way.

The Toffees came from 2-0 down to beat Crystal Palace 3-2 on Thursday to seal their survival for next season and could prove the perfect opponents.

Mikel Arteta starred for the Toffees before joining Arsenal in 2011 and, having clashed so often on the field, his first managerial duel with Frank Lampard could be a damp squib considering the pair's respective situations.

That said, it looks set to be a day of goodbyes at the Emirates, with Eddie Nketiah and Alexandre Lacazette expected to depart this summer on free transfers.

Both have played their parts at times and are 20/21 and 5/6, respectively, in the anytime market.

Related Premier League News

Premier League: Who Needs What on the Fnal Day

Premier League: Weekend Review

Race for sixth place

6Manchester United37161011158
7West Ham37168131156

United to sneak sixth

Not for the first time, it promises to be all change at Old Trafford this summer with Erik ten Hag ready to take over from interim Ralf Rangnick.

Manchester United sign off their season at Crystal Palace and are 13/10 to win at Selhurst Park to seal sixth in the table.

They head into the final day two points clear of West Ham, the Hammers having enjoyed another remarkable campaign under David Moyes, with a trip to the last four of the Europa League amongst the highlights.

Brighton are their final opponents and, with the right summer business, they could be in a similar situation to the Londoners this time next year.

Graham Potter's side are on course for their club's best-ever finish and have enjoyed a fine spring, beating Arsenal, Tottenham and United in recent weeks.

They are also unbeaten in nine Premier League matches against the Irons, but a quirk of this fixture is that the last six meetings have been draws and another tie, a result that won't be enough for the Hammers to make it up to sixth, is 5/2.

Relegation fight

18Leeds United3781118-3835

Roses battle to beat the drop

There is one more relegation place to be decided, with 17th-placed Burnley and 18th-placed Leeds tied on 35 points. However, the Clarets' goal difference is 20 better off than the Whites and that is why they are 2/1 to be relegated and their rivals 4/11.

Neither have easy tasks on Sunday, with Burnley at home to resurgent Newcastle, while Leeds are away at Brentford.

Similar to Gerrard, Toon boss Eddie Howe may have extra motivation having struggled during his short spell in charge at Turf Moor. His side were brilliant in beating Arsenal on Monday and are 11/5 to triumph in Lancashire.

That price probably reflects what's at stake and Mike Jackson's side are 5/4 to take their chance after being left frustrated by Thursday's 1-1 draw at Aston Villa.

A win will keep Burnley up, as could a draw at 12/5 and don't expect a classic, with both meetings between these teams this season producing under 1.5 goals, a tally that is 11/4 to be repeated.

Leeds will feel they have to win at Brentford, with a fifth away victory of the campaign priced at 17/10.

The duo drew 2-2 at Elland Road in December and both sides have endured their ups in the subsequent months. However, the Bees have emerged from their mid-winter woes to push for a top-half finish, currently sitting 11th.

A single defeat in their last seven demonstrates the form they are in, with Christian Eriksen - potentially playing his final game for the club - at the centre of all they do well. Eriksen is 2/1 to produce over 0.5 assists and he could be a thorn in the visitors' side.

The same could be said for ex-Whites defender Pontus Jansson. Beware the former player and he is 10/1 to score at anytime on what could be a heartbreaking afternoon for the Yorkshire club.

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