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Spanish Grand Prix: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Max Verstappen stretched his championship lead to 56 points with his win in Canada last time, but the competition on track is much fiercer than that suggests, and Lando Norris will be keen to add to his Miami victory after a string of competitive performances.

Spanish Grand Prix

Spanish Grand Prix betting tips and predictions

Lando Norris to win Spanish Grand Prix - 5/1

Verstappen has won two of the last four grands prix, but a 50% strike rate is pretty poor compared to the Red Bull superstar's utter dominance of the last couple of seasons.

Indeed, he might not have won any of the last four had he not produced near-faultless performances under pressure in Canada and Emilia Romagna. 

Given Red Bull's performance advantage in recent times, it is easy to forget that the Dutch dynamo is also a fantastic racing driver, quite capable of winning even without the fastest car.

Verstappen was followed home in both of those races by Lando Norris, the brilliant winner of the Miami Grand Prix, who will be feeling he should probably have a couple more wins under his belt by now.

Since McLaren introduced an upgrade in Australia, Norris has recorded five podium finishes including that Stateside victory and the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya should suit the car better than Montreal and Monaco.

A conventional and well-used racing circuit should also help Red Bull, who have struggled to find a good set-up for their machine on temporary tracks and street circuits. Odds of 4/9 may not sound too exciting about a Verstappen victory, but given his record and the prices he was earlier in the season, some punters may well be tempted in.

But Norris qualified third in Spain last year before the team had introduced their season-altering upgrade. The Briton was unable to show his true pace in the race after damaging the car at the first corner, but with a much quicker machine at his disposal this time, Norris looks the value call.

George Russell podium finish - 7/2

After another disappointing start to the season things finally seem to be heading in the direction for Mercedes.

The dominant team of the 2010s have struggled since a rule change placed the emphasis on aerodynamics rather than engines. But they enjoyed their strongest weekend of the season in Canada where George Russell claimed pole position before taking the team's first podium of the season.

Mercedes have had a number of false dawns in recent seasons, but they will be encouraged by the fact they had their best race of last year in Barcelona, with Lewis Hamilton and Russell finishing second and third behind Verstappen.

That suggests their simulation data, which has led them astray on numerous occasions, is at least reliable for this circuit and they will look to build on the promise shown in Montreal.

With Hamilton leaving for Ferrari at the end of the season it is perhaps unsurprising that the seven-time champion has struggled to match Russell this year, and the King's Lynn racer looks the better bet at the prices to make another appearance on the rostrum.

Yuki Tsunoda points finish - 8/11

Red Bull's second team, RB, have not lived up to pre-season expectations, but they find themselves in the thick of the midfield scrap.

In the first nine races of the year they have already exceeded their points total for the whole of last season by three points.

A late mistake in Montreal cost Yuki Tsunoda the chance to pick up a fourth consecutive top-10 finish, but team-mate Daniel Ricciardo kept the team's points streak going in eighth.

Prior to Canada, Tsunoda had scored points in the last five races he completed and, with a significant aero upgrade coming for the car this weekend, the 8/11 on offer for the Japanese racer to add to his tally looks generous.

Read more F1 betting tips and predictions on site.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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