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Tour de France odds: Brilliant Pogacar set for Tour treble

A fortnight into the 111th Tour de France and the winner already looks all but confirmed, with Tadej Pogacar over three minutes clear.

The race resumes with Tuesday's 188.6km stage 16 from Gruissan to Nîmes, which represents the final chance for the sprinters to make their move before four brutal days in the mountains and the closing time-trial.

After winning both of the stages in the Pyrenees, Pogacar will aim to dominate in the Alps and his aggressive riding style, along with his UAE Team Emirates' collective strength, hint that he could get the job done without having to worry about the final-stage time-trial.

Tour de France

Tadej Pogacar - 1/12

After two years of finishing as runner-up, Pogacar now looks on course to claim his third Tour de France title and become the first rider since Marco Pantani in 1998 to do the Giro-Tour double in a calendar year.

There were fears the Slovene had burned himself out when he lost out in a sprint to Jonas Vingegaard on Stage 11.

However, he was incredible in the Pyrenees and, although not in his or his team's nature, his three-minute and nine-second advantage means he can ride defensively and follow moves rather than play the protagonist.

Cut from 4/9 to 1/12, it looks like a foregone conclusion that he will be in yellow on Sunday evening in Nice.

Jonas Vingegaard - 8/1

Jonas Vingegaard's April crash in the Basque Country prompted pre-race fitness doubts and, after an encouraging first week, the defending champion's win on Stage 11 suggested he was only going to get fitter.

That could still be the case, but it has been telling that in recent days when Pogacar has attacked, the Dane has started looking back to see if anyone is close enough to work with him in pursuing the leader, rather forward and going straight after his rival.

True, even when fully fit, Vingegaard lacks the turbocharged injection to leap on to attacks, but even his famous diesel engine seems to be stuttering rather than thundering, while his Visma-Lease a Bike team, Matteo Jorgenson aside, are also struggling.

The 27-year-old could still get stronger as he often does, but the deficit appears too great for him to win a third straight title.

Remco Evenepoel - 80/1

It has been a decent Tour debut for Remco Evenepoel, who won the Stage 7 time-trial and has featured in the mountains without truly challenging.

That was always expected to be the case, with the Soudal-Quick-Step man yet to consistently show he can compete with the best on the highest slopes and he starts the final week five minutes and 19 seconds off the pace.

Still, at 24, he has his best days ahead of him and a podium finish, the white jersey and, probably a second victory in the closing time-trial from Monaco to Nice, would represent a superb first go at La Grande Boucle.

Adam Yates - 150/1

Pogacar's dominance means there could be opportunities for his colleagues to attack and Adam Yates will hope to repeat last year's achievements of winning a stage and pushing for a podium after finishing third in 2023.

Yates has looked excellent in the mountains, often being sent up the road to give his team leader someone to chase, but with the race all but settled, he might now be allowed to sit in and let others do the work.

A proven three-week racer, the 31-year-old's experience means his 8/1 to cut his eight-minute gap to Evenepoel and finish on the podium might not be a bad price.

Joao Almeida - 150/1

Another UAE rider, Joao Almeida, has also been used as a workhorse on his Tour debut, but may now get chances, especially with Juan Ayuso - who he was clearly angered by due to the Spaniard's lack of work on the front - abandoning the race due to illness.

Almeida is currently fourth, three places and just under three minutes ahead of Yates.

However, his almost 11-minute gap to Pogacar means he will not be winning the race, but his 5/1 to finish on the podium is another tempting price.

Tour de France

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