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England v Pakistan 3rd Test
  1. CRICKET
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England v Pakistan Third Test Prediction, Tips and Bet Builder

England are hot favourites to complete a 3-0 series victory over Pakistan and Racing Post's James Milton has picked out his best bets for Wednesday's third Test at Edgbaston.

Joe Root's men won the first Test by an innings and 103 runs at Headingley and followed up with a 194-run victory in bowler-friendly conditions at Lord's.

That result prompted Pakistan to release coach Sarfaraz Ahmed and seven members of their squad, so they will line up with an inexperienced bowling attack in Birmingham.

England vs Pakistan Third Test Tips Summary

Best Bet - Ollie Robinson to be top first-innings bowler @ 5/1
Alternative Bet - Saud Shakeel over 50.5 performance points @ 5/6
Bet Builder - Jamie Smith 30+ runs, Mohammad Abbas to be top Pakistan first-innings bowler & Pakistan opening partnership - Under 17.5 @ 9/2

England vs Pakistan

England vs Pakistan Third Test Prediction

Best Bet - Ollie Robinson to be top first-innings bowler @ 5/1

It has been a tumultuous summer for both England and Pakistan but punters have been able to rely on top-class performances from fast bowler Ollie Robinson.

Recalled for England's series against New Zealand, Robinson has featured in three Test matches this year and won the player-of-the-match award in all three.

Helped by some tough pitches for batting, the Sussex seamer claimed 23 wickets in three games and he is a good bet to be the top first-innings bowler on either team at Edgbaston.

Robinson's accuracy and seam movement have been too much for a struggling Pakistan batting unit.

His first-innings figures this summer were 5-39 against New Zealand at Lord's and 5-51 and 4-11 in the first two Tests with Pakistan.

Robinson's only previous Test at Edgbaston yielded five wickets in the 2023 Ashes opener, in which his victims included Usman Khawaja, David Warner and Cameron Green.

Alternative Bet - Saud Shakeel over 50.5 performance points @ 5/6

Pakistan were bowled out for 171, 135, 110 and 194 in the first two Tests and Saud Shakeel's second-innings 97 at Lord's is comfortably their highest individual score of the series.

The middle-order man hit four boundaries in his first innings of the second Test before being pinned lbw by Robinson.

He showed great technique and determination second time around and should be backed to earn 51 or more performance points at Edgbaston.

Shakeel warmed up for this series by making 30 and 100 not out in the tour game at Beckenham and averages 50.53 after eight Tests against England.

England vs Pakistan Third Test Bet Builder Tip

  • Jamie Smith 30+ runs

  • Mohammad Abbas to be top Pakistan first-innings bowler 

  • Pakistan opening partnership - Under 17.5

Pays 9/2

Jamie Smith scored 40, 61, 25 and 68 runs in four home Tests this summer and he has racked up 367 runs in just three innings at Edgbaston.

Mohammad Abbas, a prolific wicket-taker on the county circuit in England, claimed 4-73 and 5-57 at Lord's and looks a cut above his fellow Pakistan bowlers. 

Pakistan's openers have struggled against the new ball on this tour and England should be backed to strike early in the first innings.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • England have lost four of their last six Test matches at Edgbaston

  • Opener Ben Duckett reached 50 in only one of his last 19 Test innings 

  • Ollie Robinson has taken 23 wickets at an average of 8.34 in three Tests this year

  • Pakistan have lost 15 of their last 20 Test matches

  • Only seven sixes were hit in the first two Tests of this series

  • Pakistan's opening partnerships at Headingley and Lord's were nought, nought, five and seven

Tactics, Form and Team News

England have left out fast bowlers Brydon Carse and Matthew Fisher but Hampshire's Sonny Baker and Essex's Sam Cook are in the squad.

Baker and Cook are unlikely to feature unless the hosts decide to rest pacemen Gus Atkinson, Ollie Robinson, Jofra Archer or Josh Tongue. 

Predicted lineup: 1 Ben Duckett, 2 Emilio Gay, 3 Jordan Cox, 4 Joe Root (c), 5 Harry Brook, 6 Dan Lawrence, 7 Jamie Smith (wk), 8 Gus Atkinson, 9 Ollie Robinson, 10 Jofra Archer, 11 Josh Tongue

Pakistan made seven changes to their touring party after the defeat at Lord's and five of the replacements have never played Test cricket.

Mohammad Rizwan, Imam-ul-Haq and Salman Agha are among the senior players who have been dropped and wicketkeeper Ghazi Ghori is set to make his Test debut.

Predicted lineup: 1 Shan Masood, 2 Azan Awais, 3 Abdullah Shafique, 4 Babar Azam (c), 5 Saud Shakeel, 6 Ghazi Ghori (wk), 7 Mohammad Imran Randhawa, 8 Arafat Minhas, 9 Mohammad Imran Jnr, 10 Mohammad Abbas, 11 Ubaid Shah

Read more cricket betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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