Brest and Real Madrid have achieved part one of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League campaign by making sure they qualify for the knockout stage.
But the stakes are still high at the Stade du Roudourou with both teams determined to finish as high up the standings as possible.
Contents |
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds % |
Real Madrid to win | 72.7 % | 71.4 % | |
Real Madrid to win 2-0 | N/A | 11.8 % |
Tips | Current Odds |
Real Madrid & under 3.5 goals | |
Kylian Mbappe first goalscorer | |
Real Madrid corner handicap -2 |
Real Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals - 6/4
You would have got decent odds at the start of the tournament that Brest would be going into Matchday 8 in a stronger position than Real Madrid.
French upstarts Brest, making their first appearance in Europe never mind the UEFA Champions League, had never even finished in the top half of Ligue 1 before last season's shock third place finish so came into the tournament with modest aspirations.
Real Madrid on the other hand came into the UEFA Champions League as the defending champions and 15-time winners.
To further dampen Brest's enthusiasm they were ordered by UEFA to play their home matches in Guingamp because their own ground was deemed not good enough.
Yet here we are, seven rounds in, and Brest sit on 13 points - ironically unbeaten at their temporary adopted home - with Real Madrid a point back on 12.
Both have made it into the final 24 though it's the Bretons who still have a realistic chance of making the top eight and sitting out the play-offs. For Real Madrid to do that they would need to win in Guingamp and then hope for a lot of miracles elsewhere.
That's unrealistic - what isn't is that the Spanish giants land the odds at the Stade du Roudourou though in a relative low-scorer.
Brest have been defensively sound throughout the tournament so far, conceding only eight goals.
And they have been decent at 'home', registering wins over Sturm Graz (2-1) and PSV Eindhoven (1-0) either side of a 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen.
Their two defeats have been 3-0 at Barcelona and 2-0 against Shakhtar Donetsk in Gelsenkirchen.
Since that loss at the Nou Camp they have won eight of 11 in all competitions - despite a string of injuries to key players including first-choice full-back Julian Le Cardinal and Massaido Haidara.
They welcome Madrid on the back of a bruising 1-0 win at Le Havre in which they picked up another injury, this time to forward Mama Balde. And on Saturday they play Paris Saint-Germain in the league.
Roy insists he will have no difficulty motivating his players for the visit of Real Madrid who head for Finistere fresh from a 3-0 win at Valladolid.
Carlo Ancelotti's men - who lost 1-0 at Lille on Matchday 2 in October - have not failed to score in a game since November, have won eight of their last ten and will be determined to sign off with a win.
A place in the top eight may be beyond them but a place in the next eight may offer an easier opponent in the play-off round.
They won't take Brest lightly, but since the French side's last eight matches have all produced three goals or less and both teams have qualified for the next stage, maybe Real to win & Under 3.5 goals offers a bit of value at 6/4.
Kylian Mbappe first goalscorer - 3/1
Recent criticism of Kylian Mbappe wasn't lost on Brest boss Eric Roy at the weekend when he looked forward to shackling the French superstar and his Real team-mates.
He's "not in great shape" quipped Roy after the 2018 World Cup winner bagged a hat-trick in Real's 3-0 win at Valladolid, the latest broadside from Mbappe to silence the doubters who claimed he was under-performing at the Bernabeu.
Mbappe is now on a run of eight goals in his last five games - finding the net in each of them - and he is hard to dislike as a first-scorer option in Guingamp.
Real Madrid Corner Handicap -2 - Evs
Real Madrid will dominate possession, chances and, it follows, corners.
That has certainly been the case throughout the tournament so far with Real having racked up 49 corners in their seven matches (7 per game) and Brest just 22 (3.2 per game).
Brest average 3.8 corners per game in Ligue 1 while Real average 5.6 corners per game in La Liga.
With Brest having one eye on Saturday's visit from PSG and Real having more of an incentive to win, take the holders to land the corner handicap bet giving two at Evs.
Brest | 11.2% |
Draw | 16.1% |
Real Madrid | 72.7% |
The odds suggest that Real Madrid have a 71.4% chance of beating Brest on Wednesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 72.7% chance of that happening.
The BetSie Supercomputer believes that Brest have an 11.2% chance of winning their upcoming game against Real Madrid.
The draw stands a 16.1% chance of landing according to the BetSie Supercomputer.
Brest
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Bizot; Lala, Chardonnay, Koulibaly, Pereira; Camara, Fernandes, Magnetti; Del Castillo, Ajorque, Sima
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy; Ceballos, Modric, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Mbappe, Vinicius
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