When can Birmingham City win the League One title?

Entering the 2024/25 League One campaign with immense expectation, Birmingham City have lived up to the billing as favourites and are currently on course to break the third tier points record.

Chris Davies' men are now priced at 1/1000 to claim top honours in League One and given their supremacy, the battle for the League One title is a foregone conclusion.

Birmingham faced significant scrutiny at the beginning of the season following a lavish spending spree which saw them obliterate the League One transfer record for Jay Stansfield, but the club's investment has paid dividends with Davies orchestrating a remarkable charge back to the Championship.

The question on the lips of many Bluenoses is when their side will be crowned champions, and with an EFL Trophy final to look forward to - a game in which they are 2/7 favourites to prevail over Peterborough United - the next few weeks promise to be a memorable period for the second city outfit.

We've analysed the numbers to find out the earliest date Birmingham can win the title.

Birmingham City projections

When did Birmingham City win promotion from League One?

Birmingham City achieved promotion on Tuesday 8th April after defeating Peterborough United 2-1 at the Weston Homes Stadium.

When can Birmingham City win the League One title?

Birmingham are one win away from the League One title irrespective of their rivals’ results. However, Birmingham can win the title without even playing on Saturday 12th April.

96 points is the maximum their only challengers, Wrexham, can achieve from their remaining fixtures and if Phil Parkinson's men fail to beat Wigan Athletic, then the Blues will be crowned champions the day before their EFL Trophy showdown with Peterborough.

If Wrexham defeat Wigan, then the Blues can wrap up the title at home to Crawley Town on Good Friday (18th April).

As for Wolves' points record of 103, the Blues are predicted to eclipse that figure prior to their penultimate match against Blackpool. Davies' men are also projected to surpass the EFL points record of 106, set by Reading in the 2005/06 Championship season.

League One projected points table

Team:	Current Points:	Predicted Points:
Birmingham City	95	108
Wrexham	81	89
Wycombe Wanderers	78	86
Stockport County	74	82
Charlton Athletic	73	81
Reading	68	77

*Projected points data obtained from Opta

Birmingham City's remaining League One fixtures

• Crawley Town (H) - Friday 18th April
• Burton Albion (A) - Monday 21st April
• Stevenage (A) - Thursday 24th April
• Mansfield Town (H) - Sunday 27th April
• Blackpool (A) - Wednesday 30th April
• Cambridge United (A) - Saturday 3rd May