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Andy Murray v Matteo Berrettini: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Andy Murray is a two-time ATP Miami champion, beating Novak Djokovic in the 2009 final and seeing off David Ferrer four years later.

The British legend, also twice runner-up to Djokovic at this tournament, has lower expectations this time around and he is 11/10 to beat Italy's Matteo Berrettini when they meet in the first round on Wednesday.

Andy Murray v Matteo Berrettini

Andy Murray v Matteo Berrettini betting tips and predictions

Matteo Berrettini to win 2-1 – 11/4

Murray's injury problems have been well documented and the Scot has suggested that he will be ready to retire from tennis at the end of the 2024 season.

Murray ended a six-match losing streak with a first-round victory over Alexandre Muller in February's Qatar Open in Doha and he has also overcome his opening opponents in two subsequent tournaments.

The veteran beat Denis Shapovalov in three sets in Dubai before a 6-3 6-2 first-round win over Belgium's David Goffin at the ATP Masters in Indian Wells this month.

He was knocked out in the following round after all three of his wins this year, however, and may struggle to see off Berrettini, nine years his junior, in Miami despite the Italian's own injury problems.

Berrettini, who reached the Wimbledon final in 2021, has slipped to number 125 in the world rankings following six months on the sidelines.

A foot injury ruled him out of this year's Australian Open, where he made the semi-finals in 2022, but he looked in good nick in his comeback event in Arizona on the Challenger Tour.

Berrettini reached the final in Phoenix, losing to defending champion Nuno Borges, and he should have taken great heart from his efforts in the quarter-finals and semi-finals.

A rain delay meant he had to play both of those matches on the same day, edging past Terence Atmane in three sets before a 7-6 7-6 success against Aleksandar Vukic.

He will clearly need time to recapture his best form but he showed his character and fitness in Phoenix and is worth backing to claim a 2-1 win over Murray, who trails 3-2 in their personal head-to-head record.

Andy Murray to win the first set – 1/1

Murray's most recent meeting with Berrettini was an epic contest at the 2023 Australian Open, where the Italian fought back from two sets down before the British veteran rallied to win the deciding fifth set.

Murray had taken the first two sets by a 6-3 margin and he is worth backing to make a fast start in Miami on Wednesday.

Berrettini's long absence from the ATP Tour may leave him vulnerable in the early exchanges and Murray won the first set 6-1 in his first-round victory over Muller in Qatar.

In Murray's most recent match, the second-round loss to fifth seed Andrey Rublev at Indian Wells, his Russian opponent had to save four set points before winning a first-set tie-break.

Berrettini lost the opening set of his first match in Phoenix against Hugo Gaston and he may require some time to take control against Murray this week.

Matteo Berrettini 10+ aces – 5/6

Berrettini is renowned as a powerful server and, given that a lengthy match is in prospect, he should be backed to record 10 or more aces against Murray.

The Italian hit exactly 10 aces in his first-round triumph over Gaston in Arizona, winning 34 of his 41 first-serve points, and he should be even sharper after his run to the final of the Challenger Tour event.

Berrettini racked up 31 aces in last year's Australian Open epic against Murray and, while Wednesday's clash is only a best-of-three-sets encounter, he can hit double figures once again.

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site

Andy Murray v Matteo Berrettini odds

To win match
Andy Murray – 11/10
Matteo Berrettini – 8/11

Read Andy Murray v Matteo Berrettini how to watch, TV channel, head-to-head stats, team news and more on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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