The Racing Post’s Robbie Wilders is back with two tips for Wednesday’s racing in Britain, one over jumps at Musselburgh and one under the lights on the all-weather at Kempton.
Domandlouis @ 4/1
My Song For You @ 9/4
There are logical reasons to take on the top three runners in the early market for the 3m handicap chase (4.25) at Musselburgh.
Thirteen-year-old Irish raider Stormey is past his best and will find this tough to land off an 8lb higher chase mark in Britain, while Croagh Patrick has never entirely convinced over this distance, with his two victories coming over intermediate trips.
Early favourite Concetto was allowed to dominate from the front on his chasing debut over 2m4f on good ground last time, but there has to be a doubt he can execute such tactics over a longer trip off a 7lb higher mark with 4/1 DOMANDLOUIS in the line-up.
Trainer Lucinda Russell once nominated Domandlouis as a dark horse to follow in a past Racing Post stable tour and an official mark of just 104 over fences suggests he hasn’t progressed as his connections would hope.
However, after just eight starts (three in chases) and a novice hurdle victory at odds of 12-1 last term, he is still worth keeping a close eye on.
Domandlouis likes to go forward and is the only runner among the main players with decent form over 3m, and it is worth upgrading his fourth at Kelso last time as he was running from 7lb out of the weights.
This six-year-old is expected to get Concetto out of his comfort zone under Derek Fox and remains open to a good bit more improvement.
Another favourite I’ll be looking to oppose is the Richard Hannon-trained newcomer One Night Thunder, who debuts in the 7f novice (6.30) at Kempton.
The Sheikh Mohammed Obaid-owned three-year-old is by Night Of Thunder and out of a mare whose progeny are yet to achieve much on the track, so giving 5lb to 9/4 MY SONG FOR YOU will be a tough ask.
Surprisingly, Richard Fahey is yet to enjoy a winner at Kempton from ten previous tries, but this filly can break his duck here as his sole runner on the card after a nice introduction at Newcastle over 6f in January.
Sent off a 25-1 shot that day, My Song For You is expected to build on that debut fourth over an extra furlong which is sure to suit based on pedigree.
Although she is by a sprinter in Harry Angel, her dam thrived over middle distances, finishing third in a 1m4f Group 2 before running in the Group 1 Prix de l’Opera on Arc weekend some years back.
My Song For You also gave the visual impression she would benefit from a little further next time and that experience will stand to her against the short-priced favourite.
Four-year-old Ikkari is not ruled out if able to bounce back to the form of her debut second at Wolverhampton last May, but the 270-day lay-off after she regressed slightly on her next outing at Lingfield is an obvious concern.
Conceding 16lb to My Song For You will be tricky and the lack of match sharpness might just catch her out against a younger filly who is bred to be Listed/Group class.